Tusker vs Leopards: match statistics
Leopards are showing significantly better form and stability this season. The visitors possess an impressive away record with 43% wins and just 14% losses, while Tusker only wins 29% of home games and loses 43%. Form over the last five matches also favors Leopards – the team has earned 2.2 points per match and remains unbeaten (3W-2D-0L), whereas Tusker, despite a good overall run, has a weaker streak at home (29% CS, negative goal difference -2). Leopards are further characterized by a better away defense (0.86 goals conceded per match vs 1.0 for Tusker at home) and higher offensive efficiency (1.0 goals scored per match away). Considering all statistics, Leopards are the favorites for this match, although the high percentage of draws in their away games (43%) makes a sharing of points very likely as well.
Tusker vs Leopards: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tusker played against Leopards in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Recent form
Tusker has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Leopards has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tusker scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 0.73. Leopards scores 1.07 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 1.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Tusker's games and 40% of Leopards's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 27%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tusker has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.28 per game. Tusker takes 12.3 shots per game, while Leopards takes 7.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Tusker leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Leopards leads at halftime in 7% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tusker's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Leopards, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.92 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leopards are showing significantly better form and stability this season. The visitors possess an impressive away record with 43% wins and just 14% losses, while Tusker only wins 29% of home games and loses 43%. Form over the last five matches also favors Leopards – the team has earned 2.2 points per match and remains unbeaten (3W-2D-0L), whereas Tusker, despite a good overall run, has a weaker streak at home (29% CS, negative goal difference -2). Leopards are further characterized by a better away defense (0.86 goals conceded per match vs 1.0 for Tusker at home) and higher offensive efficiency (1.0 goals scored per match away). Considering all statistics, Leopards are the favorites for this match, although the high percentage of draws in their away games (43%) makes a sharing of points very likely as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tusker is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Tusker · 2 pts / game - Leopards
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leopards is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - Tusker · 1.07 goals / game - Leopards
Leopards is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Tusker · 0.67 goals / game - Leopards
Tusker scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 meczów).
Leopards scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Leopards
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tusker is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / game - Tusker · 1 pts / game - Leopards
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Leopards - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tusker
Leopards
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.60 | 1.92 | ▼ 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 41% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 37% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 53% | 34% | • 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▲ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Leopards?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 0:4 Leopards. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Leopards?
Tusker score 0.87 goals per game on average and Leopards 1.07. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tusker's matches and 40% of Leopards's.
What form are Tusker and Leopards in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Leopards 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Leopards?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.