Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL: match statistics
Murang'a SEAL presents decidedly better form, earning 2.4 points per match in the last five games with four victories, while Tusker has just 0.8 points and only one win. The hosts have won only 20% of their home matches this season, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, which, combined with a -7 goal difference in home matches, evidences serious defensive problems. Murang'a SEAL boasts a 45% away win rate, scoring an average of 1.73 goals on the road and maintaining a positive goal difference (+5). Tusker failed to score in 40% of home matches, whereas the visitors have a mere 9% FTS% rate away. The clear advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability argues for an away victory, although Tusker's weaker home stance still leaves a chance for a draw.
Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tusker played against Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on February 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Tusker has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Murang'a SEAL has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tusker scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 1.10. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.38 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Tusker's games and 62% of Murang'a SEAL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 48%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tusker has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.46 per game. Tusker takes 11.7 shots per game, while Murang'a SEAL takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Tusker leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Murang'a SEAL leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tusker's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Murang'a SEAL, it is minutes 0-15 (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Murang'a SEAL presents decidedly better form, earning 2.4 points per match in the last five games with four victories, while Tusker has just 0.8 points and only one win. The hosts have won only 20% of their home matches this season, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, which, combined with a -7 goal difference in home matches, evidences serious defensive problems. Murang'a SEAL boasts a 45% away win rate, scoring an average of 1.73 goals on the road and maintaining a positive goal difference (+5). Tusker failed to score in 40% of home matches, whereas the visitors have a mere 9% FTS% rate away. The clear advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability argues for an away victory, although Tusker's weaker home stance still leaves a chance for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Murang'a SEAL is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Tusker · 3 pts / game - Murang'a SEAL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Tusker · 1.38 goals / game - Murang'a SEAL
Murang'a SEAL is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Tusker · 1.05 goals / game - Murang'a SEAL
Tusker scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
Murang'a SEAL scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Murang'a SEAL is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Tusker · 1.14 pts / game - Murang'a SEAL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (17 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tusker
Murang'a SEAL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.05 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Tusker's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Murang'a SEAL. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 1:0 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL?
Tusker score 0.95 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.38. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Tusker's matches and 62% of Murang'a SEAL's.
What form are Tusker and Murang'a SEAL in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL?
The statistical background for Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.