Tusker vs Posta Rangers: match statistics
Tusker is exhibiting clearly superior form over the last five fixtures, securing 2.4 points per match with four victories, whereas Posta Rangers manages only 1.6 points per match. The hosts hold an advantage in offensive efficiency at home, averaging 4.57 shots on target per match compared to just 2.67 for the visitors on the road. Posta Rangers faces severe attacking struggles away, failing to score in 67% of away games, which, combined with a -7 away goal difference, places them in a precarious position. Furthermore, the visitors concede an average of 1.33 goals per away match; this, coupled with a lower xG (0.7 vs 0.85 for the hosts), points to a Tusker advantage. Despite the hosts having a weaker home record than anticipated, their current momentum and offensive metrics favor a home victory in this encounter.
Tusker vs Posta Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tusker played against Posta Rangers in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Tusker has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Posta Rangers has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Tusker scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.00. Posta Rangers scores 0.89 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 1.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Tusker's games and 44% of Posta Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 39%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tusker has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.30 per game. Tusker takes 11.6 shots per game, while Posta Rangers takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Tusker leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Posta Rangers leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.22 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tusker's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Posta Rangers, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.98 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tusker is exhibiting clearly superior form over the last five fixtures, securing 2.4 points per match with four victories, whereas Posta Rangers manages only 1.6 points per match. The hosts hold an advantage in offensive efficiency at home, averaging 4.57 shots on target per match compared to just 2.67 for the visitors on the road. Posta Rangers faces severe attacking struggles away, failing to score in 67% of away games, which, combined with a -7 away goal difference, places them in a precarious position. Furthermore, the visitors concede an average of 1.33 goals per away match; this, coupled with a lower xG (0.7 vs 0.85 for the hosts), points to a Tusker advantage. Despite the hosts having a weaker home record than anticipated, their current momentum and offensive metrics favor a home victory in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Posta Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tusker is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Tusker · 0.6 pts / game - Posta Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tusker is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Tusker · 1.17 goals / game - Posta Rangers
Tusker scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Posta Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
Posta Rangers scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Posta Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Posta Rangers is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Tusker · 1.33 pts / game - Posta Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Posta Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tusker
Posta Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Posta Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.89 | 1.98 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 43% | • 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 32% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 36% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 44% | 31% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | • 33% | 34% | ▲ 39% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Tusker's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Posta Rangers. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Posta Rangers?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 1:1 Posta Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Posta Rangers?
Tusker score 0.89 goals per game on average and Posta Rangers 0.89. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Tusker's matches and 44% of Posta Rangers's.
What form are Tusker and Posta Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Posta Rangers 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Posta Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tusker vs Posta Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.