Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tusker played against Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on December 5, 2025. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Tusker has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Ulinzi Stars has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Tusker scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 0.91. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.91 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Tusker's games and 55% of Ulinzi Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 36%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tusker has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.51 per game. Tusker takes 13.2 shots per game, while Ulinzi Stars takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Tusker leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.27 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tusker's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Ulinzi Stars, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.99 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ulinzi Stars is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Tusker · 1.6 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulinzi Stars is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
0.82 goals / game - Tusker · 0.91 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars
Tusker is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Tusker · 1 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars
Tusker scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 games).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tusker is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / game - Tusker · 0.82 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tusker
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.73 | 1.99 | • 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | • 36% | 36% | • 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 41% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 45% | 42% | ▼ 36% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 1:0 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
Tusker score 0.82 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.91. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Tusker's matches and 55% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are Tusker and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.