UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso: match statistics
UCV Moquegua displays solid form at their home ground with a 67% win rate in home matches and a +1 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per match at home, have won two of their last three home games, and maintain a 33% clean sheet rate. Real Garcilaso, however, has not won a single away match this season (0% effectiveness), losing all three of their most recent away fixtures and scoring just 0.33 goals on average per match on the road. Despite high ball possession (70%), the visitors fail to convert it into goals, as evidenced by 67% of their away matches without a scored goal. The disparity in the hosts' home efficiency and the visitors' dreadful away form points to a UCV Moquegua victory, although Real Garcilaso may offer resistance thanks to solid defense and game control.
UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
UCV Moquegua played against Real Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
UCV Moquegua has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Real Garcilaso has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
UCV Moquegua scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.71. Real Garcilaso scores 1.00 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of UCV Moquegua's games and 57% of Real Garcilaso's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 43%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Real Garcilaso has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.08 per game. UCV Moquegua takes 9.9 shots per game, while Real Garcilaso takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
UCV Moquegua leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Real Garcilaso leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
UCV Moquegua's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Real Garcilaso, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
UCV Moquegua displays solid form at their home ground with a 67% win rate in home matches and a +1 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per match at home, have won two of their last three home games, and maintain a 33% clean sheet rate. Real Garcilaso, however, has not won a single away match this season (0% effectiveness), losing all three of their most recent away fixtures and scoring just 0.33 goals on average per match on the road. Despite high ball possession (70%), the visitors fail to convert it into goals, as evidenced by 67% of their away matches without a scored goal. The disparity in the hosts' home efficiency and the visitors' dreadful away form points to a UCV Moquegua victory, although Real Garcilaso may offer resistance thanks to solid defense and game control.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| UCV Moquegua | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
UCV Moquegua is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - UCV Moquegua · 1.2 pts / game - Real Garcilaso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Garcilaso is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - UCV Moquegua · 1 goals / game - Real Garcilaso
Real Garcilaso is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - UCV Moquegua · 1.14 goals / game - Real Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 meczów), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
Real Garcilaso scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while UCV Moquegua keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UCV Moquegua
Over / Under - Real Garcilaso
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Garcilaso is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / game - UCV Moquegua · 1.29 pts / game - Real Garcilaso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UCV Moquegua - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Real Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
UCV Moquegua
Real Garcilaso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| UCV Moquegua | Liga | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.43 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 65% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso?
The Primera División match finished UCV Moquegua 1:2 Real Garcilaso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso?
UCV Moquegua score 0.71 goals per game on average and Real Garcilaso 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 29% of UCV Moquegua's matches and 57% of Real Garcilaso's.
What form are UCV Moquegua and Real Garcilaso in?
Over the last 5 games UCV Moquegua have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Real Garcilaso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.