Portugal - Liga 3Estádio Carlos OsórioData current as of October 23, 2026

UD Oliveirense vs CD Mafra: match statistics

UD Oliveirense crest
UD Oliveirense
2 : 1half-time 1:0
CD Mafra crest
CD Mafra

UD Oliveirense vs CD Mafra: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

UD Oliveirense played against CD Mafra in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: Estádio Carlos Osório. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

UD Oliveirense has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.25 points per game. CD Mafra has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.

Scoring records

UD Oliveirense scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.50. CD Mafra scores 2.00 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 75% of UD Oliveirense's games and 50% of CD Mafra's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

CD Mafra has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.09 per game. UD Oliveirense takes 6.5 shots per game, while CD Mafra takes 10.8.

First-half and second-half trends

UD Oliveirense leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. CD Mafra leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

UD Oliveirense's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For CD Mafra, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga 3 games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CD Mafra sit higher in the table (3rd compared with 5th) and have scored 11 goals in their last five matches, while UD Oliveirense have netted 9, recording 3 and 2 wins respectively. The hosts are nevertheless more solid at home: they are unbeaten there, with an even 50% split between wins and draws, and average 5.5 shots on target per match while enjoying 61% possession. Mafra have yet to win away, have a -1 goal difference and concede an average of 1.5 goals, although their average xG against is only 0.95. Oliveirense create more in terms of xG at home (1.44), but at the same time allow opponents 1.73 xG, which, combined with Mafra’s run of 3 wins in five matches, increases the visitors’ chances of scoring. The combination of Oliveirense’s home resilience and Mafra’s strong recent attacking form points most convincingly to a closely contested draw.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS scenario does not have a clear edge, as Oliveirense have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches so far and conceded an average of 0.0 goals. Mafra score an average of just 1.0 goals away from home, with an average xG of 1.00, while the hosts’ defense allows opponents only 0.78 xG. On the other hand, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches, and Oliveirense allowed opponents a high 1.85 xG during this period, clearly increasing the visitors’ chances of scoring. Despite this, Oliveirense’s strong home defense and the BTTS rate being below the league average of 43% marginally favor BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Oliveirense have clearly superior attacking potential at home: they average 1.69 xG and 5.0 shots on target per match, while Mafra concede an average of 1.5 goals away from home. The visitors should also create chances, having scored an average of 2.2 goals in their last five matches, while Oliveirense’s defense allowed as much as 1.85 xG during that period. Nevertheless, the projected 2.55 goals do not point to an extremely open game, and the league-wide average is just 2.33 goals. The Under 3.5 line is also supported by the season data: 100% of Mafra’s matches and 50% of Oliveirense’s matches finished with fewer than four goals, making it the strongest selection.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

UD Oliveirense have won both of their matches at home so far, scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding none, while Mafra are still without an away win and have conceded an average of 1.5 goals. The hosts hold a clear creative advantage: their average xG stands at 1.69 compared with Mafra’s 1.00, while their shots on target average 5.0 against Mafra’s 3.5. Oliveirense led at the break in 50% of their home matches, whereas Mafra were level at half-time in all of their away games, making the draw at half-time a significant alternative. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.5 goals and keep clean sheets, while Mafra have yet to score in this half. The strongest scenario, however, is Oliveirense leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage through to full-time: 1/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

47Possession (%)53
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
10Shots7
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
4Shots on target2
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1.38xG1.29
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1Corners6
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
64Dangerous attacks97
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
18Fouls10
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0Cards0
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1.25Goals scored / game2
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1.5Goals allowed / game0.75
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
53%Average possession51%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
4Shots on target / game4.25
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.5Shots per game10.75
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
4Shots on target4.25
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
19.2%Shot conversion18.6%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
53%Possession51%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1.09xG for1.34
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1.85xG against0.86
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

Shooting quality

UD Oliveirense: Efficient finishingCD Mafra: Efficient finishing
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
Accuracy (shots on target)62%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

CD Mafra is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.25 pts / game - UD Oliveirense · 1.75 pts / game - CD Mafra

UD Oliveirense
DDWL
Season result split
25% W50% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 50%
CD Mafra
WDLW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 0.86BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CD Mafra is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

1.25 goals / game - UD Oliveirense · 2 goals / game - CD Mafra

CD Mafra is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - UD Oliveirense · 0.75 goals / game - CD Mafra

UD Oliveirense scoring profile: strong

UD Oliveirense scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 games), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).

CD Mafra scoring profile: very strong

CD Mafra scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).

5Goals scored (season)8
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
6Goals conceded (season)3
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
2.75Average goals per game2.75
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
5Goals scored (last 5)8
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
25%2 goals25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
25%3 goals25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0%4 goals25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal50%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
50%2 goals25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
25%3 goals0%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0%4 goals0%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time50%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0%BTTS in both halves0%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
25%Scored in both halves25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
75%BTTS - last 550%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time75%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CD Mafra is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / game - UD Oliveirense · 1.5 pts / game - CD Mafra

UD Oliveirense - half-time state
0% leading75% draw25% trailing
CD Mafra - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per game (1st half)1.5
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.25
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.75
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
75%No goal before half-time25%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)1.75
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
50%Clean sheet after half-time75%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra
25%No goal after half-time50%
UD OliveirenseCD Mafra

UD Oliveirense - second-half results

25% W75% D0% L
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

CD Mafra - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
6
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

UD Oliveirense - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.751.50
Goals scored / game0.50.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.5
Average goals per game1.51.3
1 goal50%75%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal75%25%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 75% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 75% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 2
CD Mafra - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.501.75
Goals scored / game1.30.8
Goals allowed / game0.50.3
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal75%75%
2 goals75%25%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet50%75%
No goal25%50%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 25% leading - 75% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

UD Oliveirense
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

CD Mafra
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

UD Oliveirense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

CD Mafra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
185%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

UD OliveirenseLigaCD Mafra
Average goals per game▲ 2.752.33▲ 2.75
Both teams scored▲ 75%43%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%43%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 25%36%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%63%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%65%▲ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / game
1.08
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. UD OliveirenseSubstitutionOn: Théo Luis FonsecaOff: João Victor Tavares de Souza
  2. UD OliveirenseSubstitutionOn: João Victor Felix AlvesOff: Jeffrey Rodriguez

FAQ

What was the result of UD Oliveirense vs CD Mafra?

The Liga 3 match finished UD Oliveirense 2:1 CD Mafra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before UD Oliveirense vs CD Mafra?

UD Oliveirense score 1.25 goals per game on average and CD Mafra 2.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 75% of UD Oliveirense's matches and 50% of CD Mafra's.

What form are UD Oliveirense and CD Mafra in?

Over the last 5 games UD Oliveirense have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and CD Mafra 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UD Oliveirense vs CD Mafra?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.