UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel: match statistics
The match between UD Oliveirense and FC Penafiel shapes up to be an even clash between two bottom-table teams. The hosts show stable home form with a balanced record of 33% wins, draws, and losses, averaging 1.56 goals per match at home. FC Penafiel has weaker away disposition (22% wins, 56% losses), but in the last five overall matches, they earned more points (1.2 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG). xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for Oliveirense (1.39 vs 1.26), however, the visitors' high FTS% (44%) suggests finishing problems. Considering the even capabilities of both teams, low scoring efficiency, and the hosts' history of draws, the most probable result is a split of points. Both teams' form in recent matches is unstable, which further argues for a draw.
UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
UD Oliveirense played against FC Penafiel in LigaPro (Portugal). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
UD Oliveirense has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. FC Penafiel has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
UD Oliveirense scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.22. FC Penafiel scores 0.89 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of UD Oliveirense's games and 39% of FC Penafiel's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 33%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
UD Oliveirense has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.36 per game. UD Oliveirense takes 11.5 shots per game, while FC Penafiel takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
UD Oliveirense leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. FC Penafiel leads at halftime in 6% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
UD Oliveirense's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For FC Penafiel, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LigaPro games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match between UD Oliveirense and FC Penafiel shapes up to be an even clash between two bottom-table teams. The hosts show stable home form with a balanced record of 33% wins, draws, and losses, averaging 1.56 goals per match at home. FC Penafiel has weaker away disposition (22% wins, 56% losses), but in the last five overall matches, they earned more points (1.2 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG). xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for Oliveirense (1.39 vs 1.26), however, the visitors' high FTS% (44%) suggests finishing problems. Considering the even capabilities of both teams, low scoring efficiency, and the hosts' history of draws, the most probable result is a split of points. Both teams' form in recent matches is unstable, which further argues for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| UD Oliveirense | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
FC Penafiel is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - UD Oliveirense · 1.2 pts / game - FC Penafiel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UD Oliveirense is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - UD Oliveirense · 0.89 goals / game - FC Penafiel
FC Penafiel is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - UD Oliveirense · 1.11 goals / game - FC Penafiel
UD Oliveirense scores in 61% of games (11 of 18 meczów), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 meczów).
FC Penafiel scores in 61% of games (11 of 18 meczów), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UD Oliveirense
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UD Oliveirense is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / game - UD Oliveirense · 0.83 pts / game - FC Penafiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UD Oliveirense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
UD Oliveirense
FC Penafiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| UD Oliveirense | Liga | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.22 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from UD Oliveirense's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against FC Penafiel. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel?
The LigaPro match finished UD Oliveirense 2:1 FC Penafiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel?
UD Oliveirense score 1.00 goals per game on average and FC Penafiel 0.89. The LigaPro average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 39% of UD Oliveirense's matches and 39% of FC Penafiel's.
What form are UD Oliveirense and FC Penafiel in?
Over the last 5 games UD Oliveirense have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FC Penafiel 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UD Oliveirense vs FC Penafiel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.