Italy - Serie ADacia ArenaData current as of October 21, 2026

Udinese vs AC Milan: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Udinese vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Udinese plays AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Dacia Arena.

Recent form

Udinese has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. AC Milan has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Udinese scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 2.29. AC Milan scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Udinese's games and 71% of AC Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 57%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Udinese has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.43 per game. Udinese takes 14.3 shots per game, while AC Milan takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Udinese leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. AC Milan leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.57 after halftime.

When the teams score

Udinese's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For AC Milan, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.68)
(3.91)
(1.83)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.29Goals scored / game2
UdineseAC Milan
2.29Goals allowed / game1
UdineseAC Milan
51%Average possession60%
UdineseAC Milan
3.86Shots on target / game4.71
UdineseAC Milan

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.29Shots per game12.29
UdineseAC Milan
3.86Shots on target4.71
UdineseAC Milan
9%Shot conversion16.3%
UdineseAC Milan
51%Possession60%
UdineseAC Milan
1.45xG for1.43
UdineseAC Milan
1.77xG against1.12
UdineseAC Milan

Shooting quality

Udinese: AttackingAC Milan: Efficient finishing
UdineseAC Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)27%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Udinese
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
DLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
AC Milan
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
57% W43% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-0
2.14 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-0
Last 5 away
1-3-0
WDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AC Milan is 55% better for: goals scored per game.

1.29 goals / game - Udinese · 2 goals / game - AC Milan

AC Milan is 129% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.29 goals / game - Udinese · 1 goals / game - AC Milan

Udinese scoring profile: strong

Udinese scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

AC Milan scoring profile: very strong

AC Milan scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Udinese keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

9Goals scored (season)14
UdineseAC Milan
16Goals conceded (season)7
UdineseAC Milan
3.57Average goals per game3
UdineseAC Milan
5Goals scored (last 5)10
UdineseAC Milan
13Goals conceded (last 5)6
UdineseAC Milan

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal100%
UdineseAC Milan
29%2 goals71%
UdineseAC Milan
29%3 goals29%
UdineseAC Milan
0%4 goals0%
UdineseAC Milan

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal71%
UdineseAC Milan
71%2 goals29%
UdineseAC Milan
29%3 goals0%
UdineseAC Milan
14%4 goals0%
UdineseAC Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time0%
UdineseAC Milan
14%BTTS in both halves0%
UdineseAC Milan
14%Scored in both halves29%
UdineseAC Milan

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
UdineseAC Milan
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
UdineseAC Milan
60%BTTS - last 580%
UdineseAC Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
UdineseAC Milan
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
UdineseAC Milan
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
UdineseAC Milan

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
UdineseAC Milan
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
UdineseAC Milan
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
UdineseAC Milan

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Udinese - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
AC Milan - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per game (1st half)1.43
UdineseAC Milan
1Goals scored (1st half)0.43
UdineseAC Milan
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
UdineseAC Milan
1.86Average goals (1st half)0.71
UdineseAC Milan
43%Clean sheet before half-time86%
UdineseAC Milan
43%No goal before half-time71%
UdineseAC Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per game (2nd half)2
UdineseAC Milan
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)1.57
UdineseAC Milan
1.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
UdineseAC Milan
1.71Average goals (2nd half)2.29
UdineseAC Milan
0%Clean sheet after half-time43%
UdineseAC Milan
71%No goal after half-time0%
UdineseAC Milan

Udinese - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
10
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AC Milan - second-half results

57% W29% D14% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Udinese - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.00
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.6
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
AC Milan - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.61.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.02.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Udinese
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
0
4
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
9
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.29
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Udinese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.1
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

UdineseLigaAC Milan
Average goals per game▲ 3.572.96• 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 71%57%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%60%▼ 57%
Clean sheets▼ 0%22%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%69%▼ 43%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%87%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Udinese's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against AC Milan. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

AC Milan
0 : 3
Udinese Calcio
Udinese Calcio
0 : 3
AC Milan

FAQ

When do Udinese and AC Milan play?

Udinese face AC Milan on October 25, 2026 in Serie A at Dacia Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and AC Milan?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Udinese won 1, AC Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Udinese vs AC Milan?

Udinese score 1.29 goals per game on average and AC Milan 2.00. The Serie A average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Udinese's matches and 71% of AC Milan's.

What form are Udinese and AC Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Udinese have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and AC Milan 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Udinese vs AC Milan?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Udinese vs AC Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.