Udinese vs Fiorentina: match statistics
The analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, advocating for a draw. Udinese presents weak home form with only 31% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -5; however, Fiorentina has even worse away statistics – only 15% wins on the road and as many as 46% losses. The form of the last five matches favors the guests (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), who won three of the last five games, while Udinese lost the last three. A key factor is Fiorentina's high percentage of away draws (38%) and similar chance conversion rates for both teams (8%). Expected xG values are close, further confirming the balanced nature of this duel and increasing the probability of splitting points.
Udinese vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Udinese play Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 2 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Udinese: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fiorentina: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Udinese scores 1.18 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.08 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Udinese 45%, Fiorentina 58%. Over 2.5: Udinese 45%, Fiorentina 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Fiorentina has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.28. Udinese: 11.6 shots per match, Fiorentina: 12.9.
Match halves
Udinese: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Fiorentina: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Udinese: 46-60 (10 goals). Fiorentina: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, advocating for a draw. Udinese presents weak home form with only 31% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -5; however, Fiorentina has even worse away statistics – only 15% wins on the road and as many as 46% losses. The form of the last five matches favors the guests (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), who won three of the last five games, while Udinese lost the last three. A key factor is Fiorentina's high percentage of away draws (38%) and similar chance conversion rates for both teams (8%). Expected xG values are close, further confirming the balanced nature of this duel and increasing the probability of splitting points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Udinese | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Udinese is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Udinese · 1.2 pts / match - Fiorentina
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Udinese is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Udinese · 1.08 goals / match - Fiorentina
Udinese is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Udinese · 1.32 goals / match - Fiorentina
Udinese scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Fiorentina scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Udinese keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Udinese
Over / Under — Fiorentina
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Udinese is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Udinese · 1.16 pts / match - Fiorentina
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Udinese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Udinese
Fiorentina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Udinese | Liga | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.43 | • 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 45% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Udinese 0 - 0 - 1 Fiorentina. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Udinese vs Fiorentina?
The Serie A match finished Udinese 3:0 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Udinese vs Fiorentina?
Udinese score 1.18 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.08. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Udinese's matches and 58% of Fiorentina's.
What form are Udinese and Fiorentina in?
Over the last 5 games Udinese have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Udinese vs Fiorentina?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.