Újpest vs Diósgyőr: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced chance for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Újpest shows poor home form with only a 27% win rate at home and a goal difference of -5, yet they possess an advantage in ball possession (57%) and a higher xG (1.69 vs 1.16). Diósgyőr has an abysmal away record with 64% losses and a goal difference of -10, but the recent form of both teams is similar (1.4 vs 1.6 PPG). The key factor is that neither team has kept a clean sheet in their matches, indicating defensive issues on both sides. Taking into account Újpest's poor home form and Diósgyőr's disastrous away results, the safest prediction is a draw, although a slight advantage is given to the hosts due to playing in front of their own crowd and better xG statistics.
Újpest vs Diósgyőr: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Újpest played against Diósgyőr in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Újpest has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Diósgyőr has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Újpest scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.73. Diósgyőr scores 1.36 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 3.01 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Újpest's games and 68% of Diósgyőr's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 59%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Újpest has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.24 per game. Újpest takes 13.1 shots per game, while Diósgyőr takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Újpest leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Diósgyőr leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Újpest's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Diósgyőr, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.01 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced chance for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Újpest shows poor home form with only a 27% win rate at home and a goal difference of -5, yet they possess an advantage in ball possession (57%) and a higher xG (1.69 vs 1.16). Diósgyőr has an abysmal away record with 64% losses and a goal difference of -10, but the recent form of both teams is similar (1.4 vs 1.6 PPG). The key factor is that neither team has kept a clean sheet in their matches, indicating defensive issues on both sides. Taking into account Újpest's poor home form and Diósgyőr's disastrous away results, the safest prediction is a draw, although a slight advantage is given to the hosts due to playing in front of their own crowd and better xG statistics.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Újpest | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Újpest is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Újpest · 1 pts / game - Diósgyőr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Diósgyőr is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.73 goals / game - Újpest · 1.64 goals / game - Diósgyőr
Újpest scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Diósgyőr keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).
Diósgyőr scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Újpest keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Újpest
Over / Under - Diósgyőr
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Diósgyőr is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / game - Újpest · 1.45 pts / game - Diósgyőr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Újpest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Diósgyőr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Újpest
Diósgyőr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Újpest | Liga | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.09 | 3.01 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 59% | • 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 88% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Újpest's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Diósgyőr. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Újpest vs Diósgyőr?
The NB I match finished Újpest 2:1 Diósgyőr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Újpest and Diósgyőr?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Újpest won 2, Diósgyőr won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Újpest vs Diósgyőr?
Újpest score 1.36 goals per game on average and Diósgyőr 1.36. The NB I average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Újpest's matches and 68% of Diósgyőr's.
What form are Újpest and Diósgyőr in?
Over the last 5 games Újpest have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Diósgyőr 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Újpest vs Diósgyőr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.