Újpest vs Várda SE: match statistics
The match promises to be very tightly contested, which favors a draw or a slight advantage for one of the sides. Újpest presents a weak home form with only a 31% win rate at home and a -4 goal difference, and their last five home matches have brought them only one victory. Várda SE shows better disposition in recent fixtures (2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches compared to 1.4 for the hosts), however, they also struggle on the road, conceding an average of 1.67 goals. Both teams have similar xG and efficiency metrics, which further confirms the even nature of the clash. Considering the statistics of both teams and their tendency to draw (23% for Újpest and 25% for Várda on their respective pitches), I predict a draw as the most probable outcome, with a slight edge for the visitors due to their better current form.
Újpest vs Várda SE: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Újpest played against Várda SE in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Újpest has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Várda SE has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Újpest scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.64. Várda SE scores 1.24 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Újpest's games and 44% of Várda SE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 48%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Újpest has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.29 per game. Újpest takes 12.6 shots per game, while Várda SE takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Újpest leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Várda SE leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Újpest's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Várda SE, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very tightly contested, which favors a draw or a slight advantage for one of the sides. Újpest presents a weak home form with only a 31% win rate at home and a -4 goal difference, and their last five home matches have brought them only one victory. Várda SE shows better disposition in recent fixtures (2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches compared to 1.4 for the hosts), however, they also struggle on the road, conceding an average of 1.67 goals. Both teams have similar xG and efficiency metrics, which further confirms the even nature of the clash. Considering the statistics of both teams and their tendency to draw (23% for Újpest and 25% for Várda on their respective pitches), I predict a draw as the most probable outcome, with a slight edge for the visitors due to their better current form.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Újpest | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Várda SE is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Újpest · 2 pts / game - Várda SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Újpest is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Újpest · 1.24 goals / game - Várda SE
Várda SE is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.64 goals / game - Újpest · 1.48 goals / game - Várda SE
Újpest scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
Várda SE scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Újpest keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Újpest
Over / Under - Várda SE
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Újpest is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Újpest · 1.16 pts / game - Várda SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Újpest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Újpest
Várda SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Újpest | Liga | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.96 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 61% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 88% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Újpest's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Várda SE. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Újpest vs Várda SE?
The NB I match finished Újpest 2:1 Várda SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Újpest and Várda SE?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Újpest won 0, Várda SE won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Újpest vs Várda SE?
Újpest score 1.32 goals per game on average and Várda SE 1.24. The NB I average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Újpest's matches and 44% of Várda SE's.
What form are Újpest and Várda SE in?
Over the last 5 games Újpest have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Várda SE 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Újpest vs Várda SE?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Újpest vs Várda SE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.