Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia: match statistics
Gor Mahia is displaying decidedly better form with a streak of five consecutive wins and an impressive 15-5-3 record for the season. The visiting team averages 1.64 goals per away match while conceding just 0.55, resulting in a +12 goal difference. Ulinzi Stars are in a crisis—winless in their last five matches (0-1-4), with a mere 9% home win rate and a negative goal difference of -2 on their own turf. Gor Mahia also dominates in possession (55% vs 48%) and shooting efficiency (3.91 vs 3.09 shots on target per match). The gap in quality between the two sides is evident, which, combined with the visitors' excellent form (64% away win rate), strongly supports their certain victory.
Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ulinzi Stars played against Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Ulinzi Stars has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Gor Mahia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 1.13. Gor Mahia scores 1.70 and allows 0.70. Games in this league average 2.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Ulinzi Stars's games and 43% of Gor Mahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 43%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gor Mahia has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.45 per game. Ulinzi Stars takes 10.3 shots per game, while Gor Mahia takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.13 goals per game after halftime. Gor Mahia leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ulinzi Stars's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (15 goals). For Gor Mahia, it is minutes 0-15 (27 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.07 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gor Mahia is displaying decidedly better form with a streak of five consecutive wins and an impressive 15-5-3 record for the season. The visiting team averages 1.64 goals per away match while conceding just 0.55, resulting in a +12 goal difference. Ulinzi Stars are in a crisis—winless in their last five matches (0-1-4), with a mere 9% home win rate and a negative goal difference of -2 on their own turf. Gor Mahia also dominates in possession (55% vs 48%) and shooting efficiency (3.91 vs 3.09 shots on target per match). The gap in quality between the two sides is evident, which, combined with the visitors' excellent form (64% away win rate), strongly supports their certain victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gor Mahia is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 2.6 pts / game - Gor Mahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 95% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars · 1.7 goals / game - Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia is 61% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars · 0.7 goals / game - Gor Mahia
Ulinzi Stars scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
Gor Mahia scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 1.52 pts / game - Gor Mahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ulinzi Stars
Gor Mahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.00 | 2.07 | ▲ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 34% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 33% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Ulinzi Stars's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Gor Mahia. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 1:3 Gor Mahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.87 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 1.70. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 43% of Gor Mahia's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Gor Mahia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.