Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close contest with an advantage for the draw. Ulinzi Stars show poor home form with just 14% wins and a negative goal difference (-1), alongside only 1 win in their last 5 matches. Murang'a SEAL is in much better shape with 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games, remaining unbeaten in that period (2 wins, 3 draws). The visitors have a better away record (29% wins, positive goal difference +2) and a higher average of goals scored away (1.43 vs 1.00). However, Murang'a SEAL's high away draw percentage (57%) and similar xG values for both teams suggest that a share of the points is the most likely outcome. A slight possession advantage for the visitors (52% vs 50%) and better form are not enough to decisively favor either side.
Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ulinzi Stars played against Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on January 29, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Ulinzi Stars has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Murang'a SEAL has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.06. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.28 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 1.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Ulinzi Stars's games and 61% of Murang'a SEAL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 44%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ulinzi Stars has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.45 per game. Ulinzi Stars takes 10.6 shots per game, while Murang'a SEAL takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.17 goals per game after halftime. Murang'a SEAL leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ulinzi Stars's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Murang'a SEAL, it is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.99 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close contest with an advantage for the draw. Ulinzi Stars show poor home form with just 14% wins and a negative goal difference (-1), alongside only 1 win in their last 5 matches. Murang'a SEAL is in much better shape with 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games, remaining unbeaten in that period (2 wins, 3 draws). The visitors have a better away record (29% wins, positive goal difference +2) and a higher average of goals scored away (1.43 vs 1.00). However, Murang'a SEAL's high away draw percentage (57%) and similar xG values for both teams suggest that a share of the points is the most likely outcome. A slight possession advantage for the visitors (52% vs 50%) and better form are not enough to decisively favor either side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Murang'a SEAL is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 3 pts / game - Murang'a SEAL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 44% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars · 1.28 goals / game - Murang'a SEAL
Ulinzi Stars scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
Murang'a SEAL scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Murang'a SEAL is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 1.17 pts / game - Murang'a SEAL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ulinzi Stars
Murang'a SEAL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.94 | 1.99 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 33% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 36% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 28% | 30% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 22% | 32% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Ulinzi Stars's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Murang'a SEAL. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 1:2 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.89 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.28. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 61% of Murang'a SEAL's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Murang'a SEAL in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.