Ulinzi Stars vs Police: match statistics
Statistical analysis clearly favors the Police team. The visitors show significantly better away form with a 67% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), while Ulinzi Stars perform poorly at home, winning just 14% of home matches and losing as many as 57% of games. Police score an average of 1.5 goals away while conceding just 1 goal, which contrasts with the hosts' problems, as they concede an average of 1.14 goals at home. The form from the last five matches also supports the visitors – Police have earned 1.0 point per match, while Ulinzi Stars only 0.8. Additionally, Police show a higher average of shots on target (5.67 vs 2.86) and better xG indicators, suggesting a qualitative advantage. Considering all these factors, a Police win is the most likely outcome, although a solid percentage for a draw reflects the unpredictability of a single match.
Ulinzi Stars vs Police: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ulinzi Stars played against Police in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on February 8, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Ulinzi Stars has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Police has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.11. Police scores 0.79 and allows 0.68. Games in this league average 2.03 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Ulinzi Stars's games and 32% of Police's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 16%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Police has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.48 per game. Ulinzi Stars takes 10.5 shots per game, while Police takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.16 goals per game after halftime. Police leads at halftime in 5% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ulinzi Stars's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). For Police, it is minutes 0-15 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.03 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis clearly favors the Police team. The visitors show significantly better away form with a 67% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), while Ulinzi Stars perform poorly at home, winning just 14% of home matches and losing as many as 57% of games. Police score an average of 1.5 goals away while conceding just 1 goal, which contrasts with the hosts' problems, as they concede an average of 1.14 goals at home. The form from the last five matches also supports the visitors – Police have earned 1.0 point per match, while Ulinzi Stars only 0.8. Additionally, Police show a higher average of shots on target (5.67 vs 2.86) and better xG indicators, suggesting a qualitative advantage. Considering all these factors, a Police win is the most likely outcome, although a solid percentage for a draw reflects the unpredictability of a single match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Police is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 1.4 pts / game - Police
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulinzi Stars is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars · 0.79 goals / game - Police
Police is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars · 0.68 goals / game - Police
Ulinzi Stars scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 meczów).
Police scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under - Police
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 1.05 pts / game - Police
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Police - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ulinzi Stars
Police
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Police | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.00 | 2.03 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 44% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 34% | ▼ 16% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 35% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 5% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Ulinzi Stars's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Police. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Police?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 1:1 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Police?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.89 goals per game on average and Police 0.79. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 32% of Police's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Police in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Police 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Police?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.