Ulinzi Stars vs Police: match statistics
Statistical analysis clearly favors the Police team. The visitors show significantly better away form with a 67% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), while Ulinzi Stars perform poorly at home, winning just 14% of home matches and losing as many as 57% of games. Police score an average of 1.5 goals away while conceding just 1 goal, which contrasts with the hosts' problems, as they concede an average of 1.14 goals at home. The form from the last five matches also supports the visitors – Police have earned 1.0 point per match, while Ulinzi Stars only 0.8. Additionally, Police show a higher average of shots on target (5.67 vs 2.86) and better xG indicators, suggesting a qualitative advantage. Considering all these factors, a Police win is the most likely outcome, although a solid percentage for a draw reflects the unpredictability of a single match.
Ulinzi Stars vs Police: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulinzi Stars play Police in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 8 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Police: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.97 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Police scores 0.97 and concedes 0.62. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulinzi Stars 55%, Police 31%. Over 2.5: Ulinzi Stars 41%, Police 21%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Police has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.41. Ulinzi Stars: 10.1 shots per match, Police: 12.4.
Match halves
Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.10. Police: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (23 goals). Police: 0-15 (27 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis clearly favors the Police team. The visitors show significantly better away form with a 67% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), while Ulinzi Stars perform poorly at home, winning just 14% of home matches and losing as many as 57% of games. Police score an average of 1.5 goals away while conceding just 1 goal, which contrasts with the hosts' problems, as they concede an average of 1.14 goals at home. The form from the last five matches also supports the visitors – Police have earned 1.0 point per match, while Ulinzi Stars only 0.8. Additionally, Police show a higher average of shots on target (5.67 vs 2.86) and better xG indicators, suggesting a qualitative advantage. Considering all these factors, a Police win is the most likely outcome, although a solid percentage for a draw reflects the unpredictability of a single match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 2.6 pts / match - Police
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police is 95% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars · 0.62 goals / match - Police
Ulinzi Stars scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).
Police scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under — Police
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.03 pts / match - Police
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (26). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulinzi Stars
Police
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Police | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.17 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 43% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 36% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▼ 3% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulinzi Stars 0 - 1 - 0 Police. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Police?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 1:1 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Police?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.97 goals per game on average and Police 0.97. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 31% of Police's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Police in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Police 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Police?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.