Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka: match statistics
Ulinzi Stars look definitely better than Sofapaka, even though both teams are going through a difficult period. The hosts have picked up 4 points in their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw), while the visitors have lost all of their last 5 fixtures without securing a single point. Sofapaka has disastrous away form with a 73% loss rate and only an 18% win rate, scoring an average of just 0.64 goals per away match and failing to score in 64% of their away games. Ulinzi Stars, playing at home, have a goal difference of -4, which is significantly better than Sofapaka's -9 away from home, as well as a higher average of goals scored (1.0 vs 0.64). Expected goals (xG) also speak in favor of the hosts (0.74 vs 0.65), suggesting a slight but significant offensive advantage. Considering Sofapaka's catastrophic streak and Ulinzi Stars' relatively better disposition at their own stadium, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Ulinzi's high home draw rate (42%) makes sharing the points a realistic possibility as well.
Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulinzi Stars play Sofapaka in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 17 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Sofapaka: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.97 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Sofapaka scores 0.54 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulinzi Stars 55%, Sofapaka 25%. Over 2.5: Ulinzi Stars 41%, Sofapaka 25%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Ulinzi Stars has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.35. Ulinzi Stars: 10.1 shots per match, Sofapaka: 9.4.
Match halves
Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.10. Sofapaka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.18.
Goals by minute
Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (23 goals). Sofapaka: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ulinzi Stars look definitely better than Sofapaka, even though both teams are going through a difficult period. The hosts have picked up 4 points in their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw), while the visitors have lost all of their last 5 fixtures without securing a single point. Sofapaka has disastrous away form with a 73% loss rate and only an 18% win rate, scoring an average of just 0.64 goals per away match and failing to score in 64% of their away games. Ulinzi Stars, playing at home, have a goal difference of -4, which is significantly better than Sofapaka's -9 away from home, as well as a higher average of goals scored (1.0 vs 0.64). Expected goals (xG) also speak in favor of the hosts (0.74 vs 0.65), suggesting a slight but significant offensive advantage. Considering Sofapaka's catastrophic streak and Ulinzi Stars' relatively better disposition at their own stadium, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Ulinzi's high home draw rate (42%) makes sharing the points a realistic possibility as well.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ulinzi Stars is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 0.6 pts / match - Sofapaka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulinzi Stars is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars · 0.54 goals / match - Sofapaka
Ulinzi Stars is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.29 goals / match - Sofapaka
Ulinzi Stars scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Sofapaka scores in 32% of matches (9 of 28 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under — Sofapaka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sofapaka is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.07 pts / match - Sofapaka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sofapaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (26). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (28). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulinzi Stars
Sofapaka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.17 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 43% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 36% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 21% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 14% | 22% | • 21% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulinzi Stars 1 - 0 - 0 Sofapaka. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 2:0 Sofapaka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.97 goals per game on average and Sofapaka 0.54. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 25% of Sofapaka's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Sofapaka in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sofapaka 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.