Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka: match statistics
Ulinzi Stars look definitely better than Sofapaka, even though both teams are going through a difficult period. The hosts have picked up 4 points in their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw), while the visitors have lost all of their last 5 fixtures without securing a single point. Sofapaka has disastrous away form with a 73% loss rate and only an 18% win rate, scoring an average of just 0.64 goals per away match and failing to score in 64% of their away games. Ulinzi Stars, playing at home, have a goal difference of -4, which is significantly better than Sofapaka's -9 away from home, as well as a higher average of goals scored (1.0 vs 0.64). Expected goals (xG) also speak in favor of the hosts (0.74 vs 0.65), suggesting a slight but significant offensive advantage. Considering Sofapaka's catastrophic streak and Ulinzi Stars' relatively better disposition at their own stadium, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Ulinzi's high home draw rate (42%) makes sharing the points a realistic possibility as well.
Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ulinzi Stars played against Sofapaka in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on March 17, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Ulinzi Stars has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Sofapaka has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.92 goals per game and allows 1.20. Sofapaka scores 0.60 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Ulinzi Stars's games and 28% of Sofapaka's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 28%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ulinzi Stars has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.30 per game. Ulinzi Stars takes 9.8 shots per game, while Sofapaka takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.12 goals per game after halftime. Sofapaka leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ulinzi Stars's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (18 goals). For Sofapaka, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.07 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulinzi Stars look definitely better than Sofapaka, even though both teams are going through a difficult period. The hosts have picked up 4 points in their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw), while the visitors have lost all of their last 5 fixtures without securing a single point. Sofapaka has disastrous away form with a 73% loss rate and only an 18% win rate, scoring an average of just 0.64 goals per away match and failing to score in 64% of their away games. Ulinzi Stars, playing at home, have a goal difference of -4, which is significantly better than Sofapaka's -9 away from home, as well as a higher average of goals scored (1.0 vs 0.64). Expected goals (xG) also speak in favor of the hosts (0.74 vs 0.65), suggesting a slight but significant offensive advantage. Considering Sofapaka's catastrophic streak and Ulinzi Stars' relatively better disposition at their own stadium, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Ulinzi's high home draw rate (42%) makes sharing the points a realistic possibility as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ulinzi Stars is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 0.2 pts / game - Sofapaka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulinzi Stars is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
0.92 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars · 0.6 goals / game - Sofapaka
Ulinzi Stars is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars · 1.36 goals / game - Sofapaka
Ulinzi Stars scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
Sofapaka scores in 36% of games (9 of 25 meczów), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under - Sofapaka
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sofapaka is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 1.08 pts / game - Sofapaka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sofapaka - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 12%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (26). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ulinzi Stars
Sofapaka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.12 | 2.07 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 35% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 16% | 24% | • 24% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Ulinzi Stars's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Sofapaka. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 2:0 Sofapaka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.92 goals per game on average and Sofapaka 0.60. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 28% of Sofapaka's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Sofapaka in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sofapaka 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.