Ulm vs Hoffenheim II: match statistics
Ulm, despite a poor table position, presents decent home form with 31% of matches won at home and only 23% of games without scoring a goal. Hoffenheim II is experiencing a form crisis, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 13 goals in that period. The visitors admittedly have a better scoring record on the road, yet their 58% loss rate in away matches and the dismal disposition of recent weeks weigh against them. Ulm possesses the advantage in possession in home matches and a better expected goals ratio relative to goals conceded. Taking all factors into account, the hosts have a real chance for victory, although the balanced nature of the encounter does not exclude a draw.
Ulm vs Hoffenheim II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ulm played against Hoffenheim II in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on March 3, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Ulm has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Hoffenheim II has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ulm scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 2.00. Hoffenheim II scores 1.85 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Ulm's games and 77% of Hoffenheim II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 77%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hoffenheim II has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.38 per game. Ulm takes 11.3 shots per game, while Hoffenheim II takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Ulm leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Hoffenheim II leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ulm's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Hoffenheim II, it is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulm, despite a poor table position, presents decent home form with 31% of matches won at home and only 23% of games without scoring a goal. Hoffenheim II is experiencing a form crisis, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 13 goals in that period. The visitors admittedly have a better scoring record on the road, yet their 58% loss rate in away matches and the dismal disposition of recent weeks weigh against them. Ulm possesses the advantage in possession in home matches and a better expected goals ratio relative to goals conceded. Taking all factors into account, the hosts have a real chance for victory, although the balanced nature of the encounter does not exclude a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ulm | Hoffenheim II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ulm is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Ulm · 0.2 pts / game - Hoffenheim II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim II is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Ulm · 1.85 goals / game - Hoffenheim II
Hoffenheim II is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Ulm · 1.81 goals / game - Hoffenheim II
Ulm scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Hoffenheim II keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
Hoffenheim II scores in 92% of games (24 of 26 meczów), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulm
Over / Under - Hoffenheim II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim II is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / game - Ulm · 1.23 pts / game - Hoffenheim II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hoffenheim II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ulm
Hoffenheim II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ulm | Liga | Hoffenheim II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.31 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 64% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ulm's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Hoffenheim II. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulm vs Hoffenheim II?
The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 1:3 Hoffenheim II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Hoffenheim II?
Ulm score 1.31 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim II 1.85. The 3. Liga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Ulm's matches and 77% of Hoffenheim II's.
What form are Ulm and Hoffenheim II in?
Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Hoffenheim II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Hoffenheim II?
The statistical background for Ulm vs Hoffenheim II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.