Ulm vs Osnabrück: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ulm play Osnabrück in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 12 December 2025 at 19:00. Final score: 3:5.

Current form

Ulm: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Osnabrück: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ulm scores 1.29 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Osnabrück scores 1.74 and concedes 0.89. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ulm 74%, Osnabrück 42%. Over 2.5: Ulm 66%, Osnabrück 45%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Osnabrück has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.43. Ulm: 11.8 shots per match, Osnabrück: 13.1.

Match halves

Ulm: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79. Osnabrück: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.13.

Goals by minute

Ulm: 76-90+ (14 goals). Osnabrück: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
2 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
UlmOsnabrück
8Shots14
UlmOsnabrück
5Shots on target7
UlmOsnabrück
1.19xG1.83
UlmOsnabrück
3Corners4
UlmOsnabrück
45Dangerous attacks64
UlmOsnabrück
11Fouls7
UlmOsnabrück
6Cards1
UlmOsnabrück

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.29Goals scored / match1.74
UlmOsnabrück
2.05Goals conceded / match0.89
UlmOsnabrück
50%Average possession46%
UlmOsnabrück
4.05Shots on target / match4.66
UlmOsnabrück

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.82Shots per match13.05
UlmOsnabrück
4.05Shots on target4.66
UlmOsnabrück
10.9%Shot conversion13.3%
UlmOsnabrück
50%Possession46%
UlmOsnabrück
1.43xG for1.58
UlmOsnabrück
1.67xG against1.3
UlmOsnabrück

Shooting quality

Ulm: BalancedOsnabrück: Counter-attacking
UlmOsnabrück
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Osnabrück is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Ulm · 2.6 pts / match - Osnabrück

Ulm
WLLDL
Season result split
24% W16% R61% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-23
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-12
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Osnabrück
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
63% W21% R16% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-8-6
2.11 pts / match · goal difference +32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
13-3-3
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Osnabrück is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Ulm · 1.74 goals / match - Osnabrück

Osnabrück is 130% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.05 goals / match - Ulm · 0.89 goals / match - Osnabrück

Ulm scoring profile: strong

Ulm scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Osnabrück keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).

Osnabrück scoring profile: very strong

Osnabrück scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).

49Goals scored (season)66
UlmOsnabrück
78Goals conceded (season)34
UlmOsnabrück
3.34Average goals in match2.63
UlmOsnabrück
7Goals scored (last 5)11
UlmOsnabrück
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
UlmOsnabrück

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal82%
UlmOsnabrück
26%2 goals50%
UlmOsnabrück
11%3 goals26%
UlmOsnabrück
3%4 goals13%
UlmOsnabrück

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal50%
UlmOsnabrück
55%2 goals21%
UlmOsnabrück
39%3 goals13%
UlmOsnabrück
13%4 goals5%
UlmOsnabrück

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time13%
UlmOsnabrück
5%BTTS in both halves5%
UlmOsnabrück
11%Scored in both halves32%
UlmOsnabrück

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
UlmOsnabrück
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
UlmOsnabrück
80%BTTS - last 580%
UlmOsnabrück

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
UlmOsnabrück
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
UlmOsnabrück
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
UlmOsnabrück

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
UlmOsnabrück
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
UlmOsnabrück
37%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
UlmOsnabrück

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Osnabrück is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.92 pts / match - Ulm · 1.53 pts / match - Osnabrück

Ulm - half-time state
16% leading45% draw39% trailing
Osnabrück - half-time state
37% leading42% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.92Points per match (1st half)1.53
UlmOsnabrück
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.61
UlmOsnabrück
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
UlmOsnabrück
1.37Average goals (1st half)1
UlmOsnabrück
39%Clean sheet before half-time66%
UlmOsnabrück
58%No goal before half-time53%
UlmOsnabrück

After half-time (2nd half)

0.84Points per match (2nd half)1.89
UlmOsnabrück
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
UlmOsnabrück
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
UlmOsnabrück
1.97Average goals (2nd half)1.63
UlmOsnabrück
34%Clean sheet after half-time68%
UlmOsnabrück
45%No goal after half-time34%
UlmOsnabrück

Ulm - second-half results

16% W37% R47% P
35
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Osnabrück - second-half results

50% W39% R11% P
58
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
72
Second-half points
+24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ulm - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Osnabrück - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ulm
ScoredConceded
2
10
0-15
8
13
16-30
9
10
31-45
11
11
46-60
5
13
61-75
14
21
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Osnabrück
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
12
5
31-45
13
4
46-60
14
6
61-75
16
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.99
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ulm

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Osnabrück

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

UlmLigaOsnabrück
Average goals in match 3.343.21 2.63
Both teams scored 74%64% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 66%64% 45%
Clean sheets 13%21% 50%
Goal before half-time 74%77% 68%
Goal after half-time 79%83% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ulm 0 - 1 - 0 Osnabrück. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Ulm vs Osnabrück?

The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 3:5 Osnabrück. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Osnabrück?

Ulm score 1.29 goals per game on average and Osnabrück 1.74. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ulm's matches and 42% of Osnabrück's.

What form are Ulm and Osnabrück in?

Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Osnabrück 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Osnabrück?

The statistical background for Ulm vs Osnabrück — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.