Ulm vs Osnabrück: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ulm played against Osnabrück in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on December 12, 2025. Final score: 3:5.

Recent form

Ulm has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Osnabrück has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Ulm scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 2.12. Osnabrück scores 1.18 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Ulm's games and 35% of Osnabrück's. The Over 2.5 rates are 76% and 35%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Osnabrück has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.34 per game. Ulm takes 10.9 shots per game, while Osnabrück takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Ulm leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Osnabrück leads at halftime in 18% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ulm's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Osnabrück, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3. Liga games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
2 : 3
Second half

Game stats

57Possession (%)43
UlmOsnabrück
8Shots14
UlmOsnabrück
5Shots on target7
UlmOsnabrück
1.19xG1.83
UlmOsnabrück
3Corners4
UlmOsnabrück
45Dangerous attacks64
UlmOsnabrück
11Fouls7
UlmOsnabrück
6Cards1
UlmOsnabrück

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.24Goals scored / game1.18
UlmOsnabrück
2.12Goals allowed / game0.94
UlmOsnabrück
50%Average possession48%
UlmOsnabrück
3.47Shots on target / game4.12
UlmOsnabrück

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.88Shots per game13.41
UlmOsnabrück
3.47Shots on target4.12
UlmOsnabrück
11.4%Shot conversion8.8%
UlmOsnabrück
50%Possession48%
UlmOsnabrück
1.34xG for1.58
UlmOsnabrück
1.81xG against1.28
UlmOsnabrück

Shooting quality

Ulm: BalancedOsnabrück: Balanced
UlmOsnabrück
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Osnabrück is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Ulm · 1.4 pts / game - Osnabrück

Ulm
LLLLW
Season result split
29% W6% R65% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-11
0.94 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-5
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Osnabrück
DWWLL
Season result split
47% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ulm is 5% better for: goals scored per game.

1.24 goals / game - Ulm · 1.18 goals / game - Osnabrück

Osnabrück is 126% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.12 goals / game - Ulm · 0.94 goals / game - Osnabrück

Ulm scoring profile: strong

Ulm scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Osnabrück keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 meczów).

Osnabrück scoring profile: very strong

Osnabrück scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).

21Goals scored (season)20
UlmOsnabrück
36Goals conceded (season)16
UlmOsnabrück
3.35Average goals per game2.12
UlmOsnabrück
3Goals scored (last 5)3
UlmOsnabrück
11Goals conceded (last 5)5
UlmOsnabrück

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal65%
UlmOsnabrück
18%2 goals35%
UlmOsnabrück
12%3 goals12%
UlmOsnabrück
6%4 goals6%
UlmOsnabrück

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal47%
UlmOsnabrück
59%2 goals18%
UlmOsnabrück
35%3 goals18%
UlmOsnabrück
18%4 goals12%
UlmOsnabrück

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time0%
UlmOsnabrück
0%BTTS in both halves0%
UlmOsnabrück
12%Scored in both halves18%
UlmOsnabrück

BTTS and goal count

65%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
UlmOsnabrück
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
UlmOsnabrück
40%BTTS - last 520%
UlmOsnabrück

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time47%
UlmOsnabrück
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time12%
UlmOsnabrück
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
UlmOsnabrück

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
UlmOsnabrück
65%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
UlmOsnabrück
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
UlmOsnabrück

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Osnabrück is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / game - Ulm · 1.06 pts / game - Osnabrück

Ulm - half-time state
18% leading29% draw53% trailing
Osnabrück - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per game (1st half)1.06
UlmOsnabrück
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.18
UlmOsnabrück
1.06Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
UlmOsnabrück
1.59Average goals (1st half)0.59
UlmOsnabrück
24%Clean sheet before half-time71%
UlmOsnabrück
59%No goal before half-time82%
UlmOsnabrück

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per game (2nd half)1.71
UlmOsnabrück
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1
UlmOsnabrück
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
UlmOsnabrück
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.53
UlmOsnabrück
41%Clean sheet after half-time65%
UlmOsnabrück
47%No goal after half-time35%
UlmOsnabrück

Ulm - second-half results

18% W41% R41% P
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Osnabrück - second-half results

41% W47% R12% P
18
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding261%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ulm - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game1.40.8
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Osnabrück - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.60
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ulm
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
4
4
31-45
4
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Osnabrück
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
7
4
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.74
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ulm

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Osnabrück

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

UlmLigaOsnabrück
Average goals per game 3.353.16 2.12
Both teams scored 71%65% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 76%63% 35%
Clean sheets 12%21% 53%
Goal before half-time 88%75% 47%
Goal after half-time 76%85% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per game
65%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / game
1.47
Away goals / game
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. OsnabrückGoalTony LesueurAssist: Fridolin Wagner
  2. UlmYellow cardLukas Mazagg
  3. UlmYellow cardDennis Dressel
  4. UlmYellow cardLeon Dajaku
  5. OsnabrückYellow cardRobin Fabinski
  6. UlmYellow cardNiklas Kölle
  7. OsnabrückGoalLars KehlAssist: Patrick Kammerbauer
  8. OsnabrückGoalLars Kehl
  9. UlmYellow cardMax Brandt
  10. OsnabrückSubstitutionOn: Kai PrögerOff: Lars Kehl
  11. UlmYellow cardEnsar Aksakal
  12. UlmSubstitutionOn: Jan BollerOff: Lukas Mazagg

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Ben Henry UhrigMatches officiated: 10
4.5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins40%Draws20%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Ulm vs Osnabrück?

The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 3:5 Osnabrück. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Osnabrück?

Ulm score 1.24 goals per game on average and Osnabrück 1.18. The 3. Liga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Ulm's matches and 35% of Osnabrück's.

What form are Ulm and Osnabrück in?

Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Osnabrück 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Osnabrück?

The statistical background for Ulm vs Osnabrück — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.