Ulm vs Saarbrucken: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between two teams from the lower part of the table. Ulm displays better home form with a 33% win rate and an average of 1.33 goals per match at home, while Saarbrucken has only an 8% away win rate and averages 0.92 goals scored. A key factor is Saarbrucken's high draw percentage (42% away) and their recent form with two draws in five matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference of -8 in their matches, confirming their similar level. Ulm has an advantage in possession (52%) and better shooting accuracy (13% vs 9%), but Saarbrucken shows greater defensive stability away (1.58 goals conceded vs Ulm's 2.0 at home). Considering all factors, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Ulm vs Saarbrucken: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ulm played against Saarbrucken in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Ulm has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Saarbrucken has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ulm scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 2.08. Saarbrucken scores 1.33 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Ulm's games and 67% of Saarbrucken's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 46%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Saarbrucken has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.36 per game. Ulm takes 11.2 shots per game, while Saarbrucken takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Ulm leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Saarbrucken leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ulm's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Saarbrucken, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between two teams from the lower part of the table. Ulm displays better home form with a 33% win rate and an average of 1.33 goals per match at home, while Saarbrucken has only an 8% away win rate and averages 0.92 goals scored. A key factor is Saarbrucken's high draw percentage (42% away) and their recent form with two draws in five matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference of -8 in their matches, confirming their similar level. Ulm has an advantage in possession (52%) and better shooting accuracy (13% vs 9%), but Saarbrucken shows greater defensive stability away (1.58 goals conceded vs Ulm's 2.0 at home). Considering all factors, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ulm | Saarbrucken | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ulm is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Ulm · 1 pts / game - Saarbrucken
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saarbrucken is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.08 goals / game - Ulm · 1.46 goals / game - Saarbrucken
Ulm scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Saarbrucken keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 meczów).
Saarbrucken scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulm
Over / Under - Saarbrucken
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Saarbrucken is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / game - Ulm · 1.25 pts / game - Saarbrucken
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Saarbrucken - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ulm
Saarbrucken
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ulm | Liga | Saarbrucken | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.42 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ulm's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Saarbrucken. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulm vs Saarbrucken?
The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 1:1 Saarbrucken. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Saarbrucken?
Ulm score 1.33 goals per game on average and Saarbrucken 1.33. The 3. Liga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ulm's matches and 67% of Saarbrucken's.
What form are Ulm and Saarbrucken in?
Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Saarbrucken 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Saarbrucken?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulm vs Saarbrucken: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.