União Santarém vs Varzim: match statistics
União Santarém vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
União Santarém play Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
União Santarém: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Varzim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
União Santarém scores 0.88 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Varzim scores 1.22 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: União Santarém 50%, Varzim 47%. Over 2.5: União Santarém 31%, Varzim 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Varzim has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.09. União Santarém: 7.4 shots per match, Varzim: 9.8.
Match halves
União Santarém: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.47. Varzim: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
União Santarém: 31-45+ (7 goals). Varzim: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back União Santarém to win: the hosts concede an average of 1.00 goals per home match versus Varzim’s 1.27 away, giving them a defensive edge. União Santarém produces 1.11 xG at home and records 3.33 shots on target per match, while Varzim has 1.08 xG and 2.8 shots on target away, so the quality of chances is marginally better for the hosts. Varzim, however, has a superior season record (11 wins and 37 goals) compared to Santarém (8 wins and 26 goals) and has scored 4 goals in the last 5 matches averaging 0.8 points, whereas the hosts have 3 goals and 0.6 points in that period. The key difference is finishing and consistency: the hosts fail to score in only 33% of home games, while Varzim are goalless in 47% of away fixtures; additionally the visitors have conceded 7 goals in the last 5 matches versus 5 for Santarém. Considering the lower goals conceded, slightly higher xG and better shots-on-target rate at home, I assign a 55% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 20% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| União Santarém | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Varzim is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - União Santarém · 1 pts / match - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - União Santarém · 1.22 goals / match - Varzim
União Santarém is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - União Santarém · 1.13 goals / match - Varzim
União Santarém scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Varzim scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while União Santarém keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — União Santarém
Over / Under — Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
União Santarém is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - União Santarém · 1.25 pts / match - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
União Santarém - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
União Santarém
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| União Santarém | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 40% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: União Santarém 0 - 0 - 1 Varzim. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of União Santarém vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished União Santarém 2:2 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before União Santarém vs Varzim?
União Santarém score 0.88 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.22. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of União Santarém's matches and 47% of Varzim's.
What form are União Santarém and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games União Santarém have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Varzim 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for União Santarém vs Varzim?
The statistical background for União Santarém vs Varzim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.