Union Berlin vs Köln: match statistics
Union Berlin vs Köln: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Union Berlin played against Köln in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Union Berlin has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Köln has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Union Berlin scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.77. Köln scores 1.45 and allows 1.71. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Union Berlin's games and 77% of Köln's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 61%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Köln has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.34 per game. Union Berlin takes 12.2 shots per game, while Köln takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Union Berlin leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Köln leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Union Berlin's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Köln, it is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Based on the provided data, Köln emerges as the match favorite (prediction: 2): the visitors have scored 45 goals this season versus Union’s 35 and have netted 10 goals in their last 5 matches while averaging 1.2 points per game, whereas Union has scored only 4 goals and averages 0.2 points per game. At home Union generates slightly higher quality chances (average xG 1.45 vs 1.32 xG for Köln away) and registers more shots on target (4.13 vs 3.87), but these advantages do not translate into results — the hosts have not won in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). Defensively both teams are prone to conceding: Union concedes on average 1.6 goals at home and as many as 13 goals in the last 5 matches, while Köln concedes 1.73 away and 9 goals in five matches, which given current form favors the more consistent visitors. Possession differential (Union 39% vs Köln 47% away) and Köln’s superior recent efficiency (10 vs 4) argue for an away win, although the high draw rate (40% for both in home/away distributions) keeps a draw as a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because Union's season BTTS rate is 88% vs Köln 67%, while the league average is 61%, providing a strong foundation for both teams to score. In the last 5 matches BTTS is 80% for Union and 100% for Köln, with Union conceding on average 2.6 goals per game in those five fixtures and Köln scoring an average of 2.0 goals. xG and shot analysis indicate a realistic chance of goals from both sides: Union has xG 1.68 against Köln’s xG allowed of 1.70, while Köln has xG 1.32 against Union’s xG allowed of 1.37; additionally Union averages 5.5 shots on target and Köln 3.87. Clean sheets are rare (Union 6% and Köln 13%), and Union posts over 2.5 goals in 75% of matches, so a both-teams-to-score scenario is clearly stronger; therefore I assign 82% to 'yes' and 18% to 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics indicate an over signal advantage: Union Berlin averages 1.81 goals per match, Köln 1.07, and xG is 1.68 (Union) and 1.32 (Köln). Combining attacking xG with opponent susceptibility (xG conceded: Köln 1.70, Union 1.37) yields an estimate of 1.69 goals for Union ((1.68+1.70)/2) and 1.35 for Köln ((1.32+1.37)/2), totaling approximately 3.04 goals. Seasonal rates show Over 2.5 in 75% of Union’s matches and 47% for Köln (average ~61%), and in the last 5 meetings both teams produced Over 2.5 in 80% of cases, reinforcing the above 2.5 signal. Additionally BTTS is 88% for Union and 67% for Köln, and the league averages 3.2 goals per match, so expecting at least three goals is justified; therefore the best line to play is Over 2.5 (over: 68%). Over 3.5 remains less certain (~40%) due to the projected total of 3.04 goals, which is close to the threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Union Berlin has a clear offensive edge in season-long metrics: home xG is 1.68 versus 1.32 for Köln, average goals 1.81 vs 1.07, average shots 15.0 vs 12.13 and shots on target 5.5 vs 3.87 with conversion rates of 12% vs 9%. First-half data are balanced — Union scores an average of 0.63 goals by the break, Köln 0.40; draws at half-time occur for the home side in 44% and for the visitors in 53% of matches, and in the last five home games Union was leading at the break in 0% and trailing at the break in 100% of cases, signaling a risk of slow starts. The second half favors Union: average second-half goals for the home side are 2.19 versus 1.6 for the visitors, and in 94% of home matches at least one goal is scored after the break (vs 73% for Köln), which supports comebacks and full-time victories. Considering the xG advantage 1.68 vs 1.32, the greater volume of chances (15.0 shots and 5.5 on target) and a tendency to score in minutes 46–60 (6 goals) and 76–90 (11 goals), the most consistent scenario is a draw at half-time and a Union win at the final whistle (HT/FT X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Union Berlin | Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Köln is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Union Berlin · 1.2 pts / game - Köln
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Köln is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Union Berlin · 1.45 goals / game - Köln
Union Berlin scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 meczów), while Köln keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 31 meczów).
Köln scores in 87% of games (27 of 31 meczów), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Berlin
Over / Under - Köln
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Köln is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Union Berlin · 0.97 pts / game - Köln
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Köln - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Union Berlin
Köln
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Union Berlin | Liga | Köln | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.90 | 3.20 | • 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 61% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 85% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Union Berlin's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Köln. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Berlin vs Köln?
The Bundesliga match finished Union Berlin 2:2 Köln. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Berlin vs Köln?
Union Berlin score 1.13 goals per game on average and Köln 1.45. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Union Berlin's matches and 77% of Köln's.
What form are Union Berlin and Köln in?
Over the last 5 games Union Berlin have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Köln 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Berlin vs Köln?
The statistical background for Union Berlin vs Köln — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.