Union Berlin vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Union Berlin presents decidedly better home form with 38% wins and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. Mainz 05 sits last in the away table with just 14% won matches and an alarming goal difference of -7 on the road. The hosts have secured two victories in their last five matches, while the visitors won only once. A key indicator is the fact that Mainz has not kept a single clean sheet away all season, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per match. Union Berlin boasts better xG statistics (1.34 vs 1.08) and a shooting efficiency of 13%, which, combined with home advantage, should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Union Berlin played against Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Union Berlin has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Mainz 05 has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Union Berlin scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.53. Mainz 05 scores 0.87 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Union Berlin's games and 47% of Mainz 05's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 40%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Union Berlin has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.25 per game. Union Berlin takes 12.2 shots per game, while Mainz 05 takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Union Berlin leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Union Berlin's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Mainz 05, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Berlin presents decidedly better home form with 38% wins and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. Mainz 05 sits last in the away table with just 14% won matches and an alarming goal difference of -7 on the road. The hosts have secured two victories in their last five matches, while the visitors won only once. A key indicator is the fact that Mainz has not kept a single clean sheet away all season, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per match. Union Berlin boasts better xG statistics (1.34 vs 1.08) and a shooting efficiency of 13%, which, combined with home advantage, should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Union Berlin | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Union Berlin is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Union Berlin · 0.6 pts / game - Mainz 05
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Berlin is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Union Berlin · 0.87 goals / game - Mainz 05
Union Berlin is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.53 goals / game - Union Berlin · 1.73 goals / game - Mainz 05
Union Berlin scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 meczów).
Mainz 05 scores in 47% of games (7 of 15 meczów), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Berlin
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Berlin is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Union Berlin · 0.8 pts / game - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 7%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Union Berlin
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Union Berlin | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.87 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished Union Berlin 2:2 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
Union Berlin score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 0.87. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Union Berlin's matches and 47% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Union Berlin and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Union Berlin have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mainz 05 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
The statistical background for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.