Union Berlin vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Union Berlin presents decidedly better home form with 38% wins and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. Mainz 05 sits last in the away table with just 14% won matches and an alarming goal difference of -7 on the road. The hosts have secured two victories in their last five matches, while the visitors won only once. A key indicator is the fact that Mainz has not kept a single clean sheet away all season, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per match. Union Berlin boasts better xG statistics (1.34 vs 1.08) and a shooting efficiency of 13%, which, combined with home advantage, should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Berlin play Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 10 January 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Union Berlin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mainz 05: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Berlin scores 1.29 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 1.29 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Berlin 62%, Mainz 05 62%. Over 2.5: Union Berlin 62%, Mainz 05 53%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Mainz 05 has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.38. Union Berlin: 12.5 shots per match, Mainz 05: 12.1.
Match halves
Union Berlin: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.85. Mainz 05: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Union Berlin: 76-90+ (17 goals). Mainz 05: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Union Berlin presents decidedly better home form with 38% wins and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. Mainz 05 sits last in the away table with just 14% won matches and an alarming goal difference of -7 on the road. The hosts have secured two victories in their last five matches, while the visitors won only once. A key indicator is the fact that Mainz has not kept a single clean sheet away all season, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per match. Union Berlin boasts better xG statistics (1.34 vs 1.08) and a shooting efficiency of 13%, which, combined with home advantage, should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Berlin | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Union Berlin · 1.56 goals / match - Mainz 05
Union Berlin scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
Mainz 05 scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Union Berlin
Over / Under — Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Union Berlin · 1.38 pts / match - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Berlin
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Union Berlin | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 86% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Union Berlin 1 - 0 - 0 Mainz 05. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished Union Berlin 2:2 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
Union Berlin score 1.29 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 1.29. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Union Berlin's matches and 62% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Union Berlin and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Union Berlin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mainz 05 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
The statistical background for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.