Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Union Berlin play RB Leipzig in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 12 December 2025 at 20:30. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Union Berlin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. RB Leipzig: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Union Berlin scores 1.29 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. RB Leipzig scores 1.94 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Union Berlin 62%, RB Leipzig 62%. Over 2.5: Union Berlin 62%, RB Leipzig 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

RB Leipzig has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.38. Union Berlin: 12.5 shots per match, RB Leipzig: 15.8.

Match halves

Union Berlin: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.85. RB Leipzig: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Union Berlin: 76-90+ (17 goals). RB Leipzig: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

37Possession (%)63
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
12Shots9
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
6Shots on target3
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
1.4xG1.02
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
4Corners6
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
32Dangerous attacks34
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
7Fouls8
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
2Cards2
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Union BerlinRB Leipzig
1.29Goals scored / match1.94
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
1.71Goals conceded / match1.38
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
40%Average possession54%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
3.91Shots on target / match6
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.47Shots per match15.79
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
3.91Shots on target6
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
10.4%Shot conversion12.3%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
40%Possession54%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
1.38xG for1.78
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
1.45xG against1.34
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

Shooting quality

Union Berlin: BalancedRB Leipzig: Attacking
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
Accuracy (shots on target)31%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

RB Leipzig is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Union Berlin · 1.8 pts / match - RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
LLDWW
Season result split
29% W26% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-15
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-7-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
RB Leipzig
WWLWL
Season result split
59% W15% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-5-9
1.91 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

RB Leipzig is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Union Berlin · 1.94 goals / match - RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.71 goals / match - Union Berlin · 1.38 goals / match - RB Leipzig

Union Berlin scoring profile: strong

Union Berlin scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).

RB Leipzig scoring profile: very strong

RB Leipzig scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

44Goals scored (season)66
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
58Goals conceded (season)47
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
3Average goals in match3.32
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
11Goals scored (last 5)10
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
8Goals conceded (last 5)11
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal91%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
32%2 goals56%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
15%3 goals24%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
6%4 goals9%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal68%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
50%2 goals29%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
32%3 goals21%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
9%4 goals12%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time24%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
9%BTTS in both halves0%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
18%Scored in both halves32%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

RB Leipzig is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Union Berlin · 1.65 pts / match - RB Leipzig

Union Berlin - half-time state
24% leading29% draw47% trailing
RB Leipzig - half-time state
41% leading41% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.65
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.94
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.44
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
44%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
68%No goal before half-time38%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.41
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)1
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.88
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
29%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig
38%No goal after half-time38%
Union BerlinRB Leipzig

Union Berlin - second-half results

29% W44% R26% P
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

RB Leipzig - second-half results

35% W35% R29% P
56
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+15
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Union Berlin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
RB Leipzig - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%100%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Union Berlin
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
6
5
16-30
6
18
31-45
6
11
46-60
6
6
61-75
17
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

RB Leipzig
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
11
8
16-30
14
9
31-45
13
9
46-60
11
6
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.16
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Union Berlin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

RB Leipzig

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Union BerlinLigaRB Leipzig
Average goals in match 3.003.24 3.32
Both teams scored 62%62% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%64% 71%
Clean sheets 21%21% 32%
Goal before half-time 74%77% 71%
Goal after half-time 88%86% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.24
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Union Berlin 0 - 0 - 1 RB Leipzig. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

The Bundesliga match finished Union Berlin 3:1 RB Leipzig. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

Union Berlin score 1.29 goals per game on average and RB Leipzig 1.94. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Union Berlin's matches and 62% of RB Leipzig's.

What form are Union Berlin and RB Leipzig in?

Over the last 5 games Union Berlin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and RB Leipzig 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.