Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Mario RigamontiData current as of October 17, 2026

Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina: match statistics

Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Union Brescia played against Desenzano Calvina in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on September 6, 2026. Venue: Stadio Mario Rigamonti. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Union Brescia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Desenzano Calvina has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Union Brescia scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Desenzano Calvina scores 0.50 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 1.96 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Union Brescia's games and 50% of Desenzano Calvina's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 0%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Desenzano Calvina has the higher season xG average, 1.86 to 1.59 per game. Union Brescia takes 12.0 shots per game, while Desenzano Calvina takes 14.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Union Brescia leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Desenzano Calvina leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Union Brescia's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Desenzano Calvina, it is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 1.96 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Union Brescia have won both of their matches so far this season and boast a 100% home win record, averaging 3 goals and 5 shots on target per game. Desenzano Calvina remain unbeaten, but have drawn both of their away matches and are yet to record a win, scoring just 1 goal on average. The hosts are considerably more clinical, converting 25% of their shots compared with just 5% for the visitors, although Desenzano create plenty of chances, registering 21 shots and an away xG of 2.31. Both defenses concede an average of 1 goal per game, while the xG against them is almost identical—1.45 for Union and 1.46 for Desenzano—so the visitors have a strong case to score. However, Union’s home advantage and significantly superior finishing should prove decisive, although a draw remains a realistic alternative.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as both teams recorded this market in only 40% of their last 5 matches, below the league average of 45%. The biggest obstacle to a Goal/Goal scenario is Desenzano Calvina, who scored just 0.4 goals per game during this period and netted only 2 goals in total. The visitors are capable of creating chances, as reflected by their recent xG of 1.41, but Union Brescia allowed an xG of 1.32 over the same period, so the opponents’ attacking advantage is not clear-cut. The hosts averaged 1.0 goal per match, while Desenzano conceded only 0.6, making a scenario in which at least one team fails to score more likely than an exchange of goals.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The league profile is clearly low-scoring: the average is only 2.05 goals per match, and just 35% of games finish with Over 2.5 goals. Desenzano have scored 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while conceding only 3; Union Brescia, meanwhile, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded. None of Desenzano’s five matches in this run went Over 2.5 goals, whereas this outcome occurred in 40% of Brescia’s games. Although match data indicates a high potential xG for the visitors at 2.31, the current finishing form of both teams and the league’s defensive profile limit the projection to 1.90 goals. The strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, as losing this bet requires at least 4 goals, which is inconsistent with Desenzano’s recent form and the league average.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as Desenzano were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Union did so in 2 of 5. The visitors are particularly cautious before half-time: they have averaged just 0.2 goals scored and none conceded during that period, with only 20% of their matches featuring a first-half goal. In their last five matches, Desenzano recorded as many as 4 draws and failed to win, while Union have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, which gives the hosts no clear advantage at full-time. Although the visitors’ average xG stands at 2.31 compared with 1.53 for the hosts, their current finishing output is just 0.4 goals scored per match across their last five appearances. The second half also promises to be a low-scoring affair, as both teams average 0.4 and 0.2 goals respectively during this period, so a draw remains the most likely outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

53Possession (%)47
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
11Shots5
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
6Shots on target0
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
2xG1.05
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
2Corners2
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
119Dangerous attacks98
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
15Fouls19
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1Cards2
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
2Goals scored / game0.5
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0.5Goals allowed / game0.5
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
57%Average possession44%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
4Shots on target / game4.5
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game14.5
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
4Shots on target4.5
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
16.7%Shot conversion3.4%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
57%Possession44%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1.59xG for1.86
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1.27xG against2.08
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

Shooting quality

Union Brescia: Efficient finishingDesenzano Calvina: Attacking
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
Accuracy (shots on target)33%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.11

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Union Brescia is 200% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Union Brescia · 1 pts / game - Desenzano Calvina

Union Brescia
WW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Desenzano Calvina
DD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-0
1.00 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-0
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Union Brescia is 300% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Union Brescia · 0.5 goals / game - Desenzano Calvina

Union Brescia scoring profile: very strong

Union Brescia scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Desenzano Calvina keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

Desenzano Calvina scoring profile: mixed

Desenzano Calvina scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

4Goals scored (season)1
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1Goals conceded (season)1
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
2.5Average goals per game1
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
4Goals scored (last 5)1
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1Goals conceded (last 5)1
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
50%2 goals0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
50%3 goals0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%4 goals0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal50%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%2 goals0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%3 goals0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%4 goals0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
50%Scored in both halves0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
50%BTTS - last 550%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Union Brescia is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Union Brescia · 1 pts / game - Desenzano Calvina

Union Brescia - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Desenzano Calvina - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1Goals scored (1st half)0
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1.5Average goals (1st half)0
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
50%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
50%No goal before half-time100%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per game (2nd half)1
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
1Average goals (2nd half)1
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
0%No goal after half-time50%
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina

Union Brescia - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Desenzano Calvina - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Union Brescia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.003.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.50.0
Average goals per game1.51.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals50%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal50%0%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 2
Desenzano Calvina - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.00.5
Goals allowed / game0.00.5
Average goals per game0.01.0
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Union Brescia
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Desenzano Calvina
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Union Brescia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Desenzano Calvina

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Union BresciaLigaDesenzano Calvina
Average goals per game▲ 2.501.96▼ 1.00
Both teams scored▲ 50%43%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%35%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 50%37%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%48%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%65%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.96
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.13
Home goals / game
0.83
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
48%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Union BresciaGoalVincent De Maria
  2. Desenzano CalvinaYellow cardLorenzo Milani
  3. Union BresciaYellow cardAlessandro Mercati
  4. Union BresciaSubstitutionOn: Loris ArmatiOff: Alberto Rizzo
  5. Union BresciaSubstitutionOn: Marco FrigerioOff: Alessandro Mercati
  6. Desenzano CalvinaYellow cardTommaso Panelli
  7. Desenzano CalvinaSubstitutionOn: Andrea ProcaccioOff: Vincenzo Millico
  8. Union BresciaSubstitutionOn: Jacopo PellegriniOff: Valerio Crespi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina?

The Serie C Group A match finished Union Brescia 1:0 Desenzano Calvina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina?

Union Brescia score 2.00 goals per game on average and Desenzano Calvina 0.50. The Serie C Group A average is 1.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Union Brescia's matches and 50% of Desenzano Calvina's.

What form are Union Brescia and Desenzano Calvina in?

Over the last 5 games Union Brescia have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Desenzano Calvina 0-2-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.