Union Brescia vs Pro Patria: match statistics
Union Brescia demonstrates significantly higher form and quality compared to Pro Patria. The hosts have won 46% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals while conceding just 0.85, resulting in a positive goal difference of +9. Pro Patria, on the other hand, performs very poorly away from home – they win only 8% of away matches, concede an average of 1.69 goals, and have a -13 goal difference. xG statistics show the hosts' advantage (2.07 vs 1.04), while Union Brescia's high shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) and ball possession dominance (52% vs 47%) further confirm their superiority. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), and Pro Patria fails to score in 46% of their away matches. All key indicators point to a certain victory for Union Brescia.
Union Brescia vs Pro Patria: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Union Brescia played against Pro Patria in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Union Brescia has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Pro Patria has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Union Brescia scores 1.37 goals per game and allows 0.63. Pro Patria scores 0.70 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Union Brescia's games and 41% of Pro Patria's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 56%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Union Brescia has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.16 per game. Union Brescia takes 13.1 shots per game, while Pro Patria takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Union Brescia leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Pro Patria leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Union Brescia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Pro Patria, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Brescia demonstrates significantly higher form and quality compared to Pro Patria. The hosts have won 46% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals while conceding just 0.85, resulting in a positive goal difference of +9. Pro Patria, on the other hand, performs very poorly away from home – they win only 8% of away matches, concede an average of 1.69 goals, and have a -13 goal difference. xG statistics show the hosts' advantage (2.07 vs 1.04), while Union Brescia's high shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) and ball possession dominance (52% vs 47%) further confirm their superiority. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), and Pro Patria fails to score in 46% of their away matches. All key indicators point to a certain victory for Union Brescia.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Union Brescia | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Union Brescia is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Union Brescia · 0.8 pts / game - Pro Patria
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Brescia is 96% better for: goals scored per game.
1.37 goals / game - Union Brescia · 0.7 goals / game - Pro Patria
Union Brescia is 187% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.63 goals / game - Union Brescia · 1.81 goals / game - Pro Patria
Union Brescia scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 meczów).
Pro Patria scores in 48% of games (13 of 27 meczów), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 48% (13 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Brescia
Over / Under - Pro Patria
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Brescia is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Union Brescia · 0.74 pts / game - Pro Patria
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Brescia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Union Brescia
Pro Patria
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Union Brescia | Liga | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Union Brescia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Pro Patria. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
The Serie C Group A match finished Union Brescia 3:2 Pro Patria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
Union Brescia score 1.37 goals per game on average and Pro Patria 0.70. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Union Brescia's matches and 41% of Pro Patria's.
What form are Union Brescia and Pro Patria in?
Over the last 5 games Union Brescia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Pro Patria 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
The statistical background for Union Brescia vs Pro Patria — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.