Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Mario RigamontiData current as of October 16, 2026

Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli: match statistics

Union Brescia crest
Union Brescia
2 : 0half-time 1:0
Pro Vercelli crest
Pro Vercelli

Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Union Brescia played against Pro Vercelli in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on October 9, 2026. Venue: Stadio Mario Rigamonti. Final score: 2:0.

Recent form

Union Brescia has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Pro Vercelli has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Union Brescia scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 0.75. Pro Vercelli scores 1.00 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Union Brescia's games and 50% of Pro Vercelli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 38%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Union Brescia has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.62 per game. Union Brescia takes 14.0 shots per game, while Pro Vercelli takes 13.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Union Brescia leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Pro Vercelli leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.63 after halftime.

When the teams score

Union Brescia's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Pro Vercelli, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Union Brescia have not lost any of their 8 matches this season and have won half of their home games; Pro Vercelli, by contrast, have lost 75% of their away matches and are yet to win on the road. The hosts score an average of 1.75 goals at home, compared with Pro Vercelli’s 0.5 goals per away game, while their average xG stands at 2.12 against their opponents’ 1.4, pointing to an advantage in chance creation. The defensive numbers also favor Brescia: they concede an average of 1 goal at home, whereas Pro Vercelli allow opponents to score an average of 2 goals away and create chances worth 2.16 xG. In their last 5 matches, the hosts have recorded 4 draws and a win, so despite the clear statistical advantage, a draw remains a realistic outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from the matchup: Pro Vercelli average just 0.5 goals away from home, while Union Brescia concede 0.75 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. The visitors have failed to score in 50% of their away games, making their finishing the main obstacle to a BTTS - Yes scenario. The hosts are clearly more likely to score: they average 1.5 goals at home, while Pro Vercelli concede 2.0 away. However, caution is warranted, as both teams have scored in 60% of their matches over the last five games, and the visitors’ latest average xG is 1.74. Despite this improvement in the visitors’ attack, their poor away scoring record makes it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Union Brescia average 1.5 goals at home, while Pro Vercelli concede 2.0 away, giving the hosts a clear opportunity to score. This is supported by the hosts’ average xG of 1.79 and the visitors’ xG conceded of 2.16. Over their last 5 matches, Union averaged 1.8 goals scored, while Pro Vercelli conceded 1.8; meanwhile, games involving both teams went Over 2.5 goals 60% of the time. However, the visitors score just 0.5 goals per game away from home, making higher goal lines less reliable. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 75% of Union’s home matches and 75% of Pro Vercelli’s away fixtures.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Union Brescia led at the break in 3 of their 4 matches so far, while Pro Vercelli have not led in any of their 4 and went into half-time trailing in 2. The home side average 0.75 goals before the break and have conceded none in that period, whereas the visitors have yet to score before half-time and concede an average of 0.75 goals. The full-match figures also support Union holding on to their advantage: they score an average of 1.5 goals and concede 0.75, while Pro Vercelli score 0.5 and concede 2.0. The visitors also concede an average of 1.25 goals after the break, strengthening the scenario of the hosts leading at the break and winning at full-time. However, caution is warranted, as Union have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, making a half-time draw a significant alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

48Possession (%)52
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
16Shots11
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
7Shots on target5
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
2.35xG1.73
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
5Corners6
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
116Dangerous attacks91
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
14Fouls11
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
3Cards2
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Union BresciaPro Vercelli
1.75Goals scored / game1
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
0.75Goals allowed / game1.38
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
53%Average possession47%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
4.75Shots on target / game5.5
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14Shots per game13.5
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
4.75Shots on target5.5
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
12.5%Shot conversion7.4%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
53%Possession47%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
1.87xG for1.62
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
1.31xG against2.03
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

Shooting quality

Union Brescia: AttackingPro Vercelli: Balanced
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
Accuracy (shots on target)34%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Union Brescia is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Union Brescia · 1 pts / game - Pro Vercelli

Union Brescia
DDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
WWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Pro Vercelli
LDLDW
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 2.13BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Union Brescia is 75% better for: goals scored per game.

1.75 goals / game - Union Brescia · 1 goals / game - Pro Vercelli

Union Brescia is 84% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.75 goals / game - Union Brescia · 1.38 goals / game - Pro Vercelli

Union Brescia scoring profile: very strong

Union Brescia scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Pro Vercelli scoring profile: strong

Pro Vercelli scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).

14Goals scored (season)8
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
6Goals conceded (season)11
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
2.5Average goals per game2.38
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
9Goals scored (last 5)6
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal75%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
50%2 goals25%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
25%3 goals0%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
13%4 goals0%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
25%2 goals38%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
0%3 goals13%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
0%4 goals13%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time0%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
25%Scored in both halves25%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
60%BTTS - last 560%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Union Brescia - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
Pro Vercelli - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.5
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
1.13Average goals (1st half)0.75
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
63%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
63%No goal before half-time63%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

After half-time (2nd half)

2.25Points per game (2nd half)0.88
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
63%Clean sheet after half-time25%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli
25%No goal after half-time38%
Union BresciaPro Vercelli

Union Brescia - second-half results

63% W38% D0% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Pro Vercelli - second-half results

13% W50% D38% L
12
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Union Brescia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.20
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Pro Vercelli - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Union Brescia
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Pro Vercelli
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Union Brescia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Pro Vercelli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Union BresciaLigaPro Vercelli
Average goals per game▲ 2.502.28▲ 2.38
Both teams scored▼ 50%52%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▲ 50%33%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 63%58%▲ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%70%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.16
Home goals / game
1.11
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Union BresciaGoalValerio CrespiAssist: Brayan Boci
  2. Pro VercelliYellow cardMarco Pagliari
  3. Union BresciaYellow cardDavide Balestrero
  4. Union BresciaSubstitutionOn: Loris ArmatiOff: Tiago Matías Casasola
  5. Union BresciaYellow cardAlessandro Mercati
  6. Union BresciaGoalJacopo PellegriniAssist: Valerio Crespi
  7. Pro VercelliYellow cardLuc van Koeverden
  8. Union BresciaYellow cardValerio Crespi
  9. Pro VercelliSubstitutionOn: Andrea MorettiOff: Luc van Koeverden
  10. Pro VercelliSubstitutionOn: Antonio SatrianoOff: Angelo Burruano

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Union Brescia's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Pro Vercelli. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Pro Vercelli
0 : 0
Union Brescia
Union Brescia
5 : 0
Pro Vercelli

FAQ

What was the result of Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli?

The Serie C Group A match finished Union Brescia 2:0 Pro Vercelli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Union Brescia and Pro Vercelli?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Union Brescia won 1, Pro Vercelli won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli?

Union Brescia score 1.75 goals per game on average and Pro Vercelli 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Union Brescia's matches and 50% of Pro Vercelli's.

What form are Union Brescia and Pro Vercelli in?

Over the last 5 games Union Brescia have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Pro Vercelli 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli?

The statistical background for Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.