Unión La Calera vs Palestino: match statistics
Unión La Calera vs Palestino: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Unión La Calera played against Palestino in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on May 24, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Unión La Calera has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Palestino has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Unión La Calera scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.58. Palestino scores 1.58 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Unión La Calera's games and 58% of Palestino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palestino has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.18 per game. Unión La Calera takes 11.0 shots per game, while Palestino takes 14.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Unión La Calera leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Palestino leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Unión La Calera's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Palestino, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Unión La Calera holds a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.83 goals per match with an average xG of 1.35 and register 4.33 shots on target from 12.67 attempts, whereas Palestino away scores only 0.8 goals per match with xG 1.24 and 3.6 shots on target. The efficiency gap is significant — La Calera converts 14% of shots into goals versus Palestino’s 7%, and also enjoys higher possession (54% vs 48%), yielding more high-quality chances. Defensively the hosts concede 1.17 goals at home on average, while Palestino concedes 2.4 goals away (opponents’ xG 1.63) and has a negative away goal difference (-8), which further undermines the visitors. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 5 goals, but La Calera conceded 10 in that span versus Palestino’s 5, indicating some defensive instability for the hosts; nevertheless the hosts have a better points return in the last 5 matches (1.2 points vs 0.8). Considering the higher conversion rate (14% vs 7%), positive home goal difference (+4 vs -8) and 50% home win rate, I forecast a Unión La Calera victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Unión La Calera 57% and Palestino 60%, both above the league average of 45%. The home side scores 2.14 goals per game with xG 1.66 and concedes 1.0, while Palestino scores 0.8 per game with xG 1.24 and concedes 2.4, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches La Calera scored 5 and conceded 10 (avg. 2.0 conceded per game), and Palestino scored 5 and conceded 5 (1.0 conceded), with recent xG for the visitors at 1.63 vs 1.22 for the hosts, indicating Palestino have recent creation potential. Additionally, the hosts average 17.43 shots and 5.86 shots on target with a 12% conversion, versus 11.4 and 3.6 and a 7% conversion for the visitors, and low clean sheet rates of 29% and 20% favor Goal/Goal. Based on this I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 70% vs 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on average xG and team profiles yields expected goals of 1.65 for Unión La Calera (xG_for 1.66 vs xG_against Palestino 1.63) and 1.12 for Palestino (xG_for 1.24 vs xG_against La Calera 1.00), totaling 2.77. The home side scores an average of 2.14 goals per home match, registers 17.43 shots and 5.86 on target with a 12% conversion rate, while Palestino averages 11.4 shots, 3.6 on target and a 7% conversion, and the visitors concede on average 2.4 goals — this strengthens La Calera’s edge. Both teams record BTTS rates of 57% (La Calera) and 60% (Palestino), and season Over 1.5 rates are 57% and 60% respectively, indicating frequent breaches of the 1.5 threshold. Under a Poisson distribution with lambda=2.77 the probability of Over 1.5 is approximately 76%, Over 2.5 approximately 52% and Over 3.5 approximately 30%, therefore the strongest signal is a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Unión La Calera appears to be the favorite: they average 2.14 goals per match versus Palestino's 0.80, have an xG of 1.66 versus 1.24, and win 57% of games compared to the visitors' 20%. At half-time the home side averages 0.86 goals and concedes 0.29, and they lead at the break in 43% of matches (with draws also 43%), while Palestino averages 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded goals by half-time. In the second half Unión La Calera scores an average 1.29 goals, while Palestino only 0.20, and the home team has 5 goals in the 76–90 minute interval versus 0 for the visitors, which increases the chance of maintaining or extending a lead. On this basis I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (33%), with the second-strongest signal being X/1 (26%); combinations in which Palestino leads at the break or wins the match are assessed at a combined 14%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Unión La Calera | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Palestino is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Unión La Calera · 1.8 pts / game - Palestino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palestino is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Unión La Calera · 1.58 goals / game - Palestino
Unión La Calera scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 meczów), while Palestino keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 meczów).
Palestino scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Unión La Calera keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Unión La Calera
Over / Under - Palestino
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palestino is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Unión La Calera · 1.58 pts / game - Palestino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Unión La Calera - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Palestino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Unión La Calera
Palestino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Unión La Calera | Liga | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.83 | 2.71 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 46% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Unión La Calera's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Palestino. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Unión La Calera vs Palestino?
The Primera División match finished Unión La Calera 1:2 Palestino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Unión La Calera and Palestino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 0, Palestino won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Unión La Calera vs Palestino?
Unión La Calera score 1.25 goals per game on average and Palestino 1.58. The Primera División average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Unión La Calera's matches and 58% of Palestino's.
What form are Unión La Calera and Palestino in?
Over the last 5 games Unión La Calera have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Palestino 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Unión La Calera vs Palestino?
The statistical background for Unión La Calera vs Palestino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.