Union Omaha vs Forward Madison: match statistics
Union Omaha vs Forward Madison: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Omaha play Forward Madison in USL League One (United States). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Union Omaha: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Forward Madison: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Omaha scores 1.61 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Forward Madison scores 1.86 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Omaha 61%, Forward Madison 50%. Over 2.5: Union Omaha 61%, Forward Madison 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Union Omaha has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.49. Union Omaha: 15.8 shots per match, Forward Madison: 12.8.
Match halves
Union Omaha: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.11. Forward Madison: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Union Omaha: 76-90+ (12 goals). Forward Madison: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Union Omaha are favorites due to markedly superior form and offensive efficiency: the hosts have won 5 of their last 5 matches and scored 18 goals in those five fixtures (3.6 goals per game), while Forward Madison has 2 wins in their last 5 and has managed only 4 goals (0.8 per game). At home Union averages 2.5 goals and 17.5 shots per match with 59% possession, and the hosts’ average xG is 1.96 versus 1.11 xG generated by the visitors on the road, indicating higher quality and quantity of chances for Union. Defensively the picture is mixed: the hosts concede 1.5 goals per home game on average and have conceded 5 goals in their last 5 matches (1.0 per game), whereas the visitors statistically concede only 0.5 goals away, but in their last 5 matches Forward have shipped 12 goals (2.4 per game), suggesting recent defensive issues. Additionally Union have a 100% home win rate and a 0% share of matches without scoring, and although Forward boast 50% clean sheets on the road, their overall form over the last five (llwlw) yields only 1.2 points per game. Considering the advantage in shots (17.5 vs 9), xG (1.96 vs 1.11) and the decisive goal differential in the last 5 matches (18–4), I tip a Union Omaha victory; probability estimates: 70% home, 16% draw, 14% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Omaha | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forward Madison is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Union Omaha · 2.6 pts / match - Forward Madison
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Union Omaha · 1.86 goals / match - Forward Madison
Forward Madison is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Union Omaha · 1 goals / match - Forward Madison
Union Omaha scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Forward Madison scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Union Omaha keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Union Omaha
Over / Under — Forward Madison
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Union Omaha · 2.07 pts / match - Forward Madison
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Omaha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Omaha
Forward Madison
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Union Omaha | Liga | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.78 | 2.85 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 73% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Union Omaha 2 - 1 - 0 Forward Madison. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?
The USL League One match finished Union Omaha 1:0 Forward Madison. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Omaha and Forward Madison?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Union Omaha won 2, Forward Madison won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?
Union Omaha score 1.61 goals per game on average and Forward Madison 1.86. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Union Omaha's matches and 50% of Forward Madison's.
What form are Union Omaha and Forward Madison in?
Over the last 5 games Union Omaha have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Forward Madison 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.