Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen: match statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise presents impressive home form with 89% of matches won at home and a +20 goal difference, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts are the league leaders, scoring an average of 2.44 goals per home match while conceding just 0.22, and their 78% home clean sheet record confirms defensive solidity. KV Mechelen, despite decent away form (50% wins), trails the hosts in all key metrics—lower xG (1.29 vs 1.96), worse efficiency, and less possession control. The last five matches for both teams show similar scoring rates (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG); however, Union's dominance at their own stadium and statistical advantage in every aspect of the game argue for a decisive home victory. The difference in class between the leader and the fifth-placed team should be visible, especially considering Union's phenomenal home run.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Union Saint-Gilloise played against KV Mechelen in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Union Saint-Gilloise has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. KV Mechelen has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Union Saint-Gilloise scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 0.60. KV Mechelen scores 1.25 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Union Saint-Gilloise's games and 65% of KV Mechelen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 35%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Union Saint-Gilloise has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.30 per game. Union Saint-Gilloise takes 15.6 shots per game, while KV Mechelen takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Union Saint-Gilloise leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 1.15 goals per game after halftime. KV Mechelen leads at halftime in 55% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Union Saint-Gilloise's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For KV Mechelen, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise presents impressive home form with 89% of matches won at home and a +20 goal difference, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts are the league leaders, scoring an average of 2.44 goals per home match while conceding just 0.22, and their 78% home clean sheet record confirms defensive solidity. KV Mechelen, despite decent away form (50% wins), trails the hosts in all key metrics—lower xG (1.29 vs 1.96), worse efficiency, and less possession control. The last five matches for both teams show similar scoring rates (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG); however, Union's dominance at their own stadium and statistical advantage in every aspect of the game argue for a decisive home victory. The difference in class between the leader and the fifth-placed team should be visible, especially considering Union's phenomenal home run.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Union Saint-Gilloise | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
KV Mechelen is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.4 pts / game - KV Mechelen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 44% better for: goals scored per game.
1.8 goals / game - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.25 goals / game - KV Mechelen
Union Saint-Gilloise is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.1 goals / game - KV Mechelen
Union Saint-Gilloise scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
KV Mechelen scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Union Saint-Gilloise keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Saint-Gilloise
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Union Saint-Gilloise · 2 pts / game - KV Mechelen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Saint-Gilloise - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 40%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Union Saint-Gilloise
KV Mechelen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Liga | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.40 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Union Saint-Gilloise's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against KV Mechelen. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
The Pro League match finished Union Saint-Gilloise 1:0 KV Mechelen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Union Saint-Gilloise score 1.80 goals per game on average and KV Mechelen 1.25. The Pro League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Union Saint-Gilloise's matches and 65% of KV Mechelen's.
What form are Union Saint-Gilloise and KV Mechelen in?
Over the last 5 games Union Saint-Gilloise have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and KV Mechelen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.