Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven: match statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Union Saint-Gilloise played against OH Leuven in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Stade Joseph Mariën. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Union Saint-Gilloise has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. OH Leuven has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Union Saint-Gilloise scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 0.43. OH Leuven scores 0.71 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Union Saint-Gilloise's games and 43% of OH Leuven's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 57%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Union Saint-Gilloise has the higher season xG average, 2.05 to 1.28 per game. Union Saint-Gilloise takes 17.3 shots per game, while OH Leuven takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Union Saint-Gilloise leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.86 goals per game after halftime. OH Leuven leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.29 after halftime.
When the teams score
Union Saint-Gilloise's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For OH Leuven, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise top the table and have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding just 2; over the same period, OH Leuven have won once and lost 3 times. At home, the hosts average 2.67 goals per match, while the visitors score just 0.33 per game on the road and have lost all 3 of those matches. Union’s superiority in creating chances is reflected in their average home xG of 2.03 compared with OH Leuven’s 1.24 away, as well as 7.33 shots on target per match versus 2.67. The hosts are yet to concede at home, while Leuven average 2.33 goals conceded away, making a win for the league leaders by far the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indicator against both teams scoring is OH Leuven’s attacking output: away from home, they average just 0.33 goals and have failed to score in 67% of matches. Union Saint-Gilloise have conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, an average of 0.4 per game, and both teams scored in just 20% of those matches. The hosts scored 16 goals over the same period, while Leuven conceded 7, making a Union goal more likely than an away goal. Although Leuven’s away xG of 1.24 suggests some attacking potential, their conversion rate of just 3% and only 4 goals in their last 5 matches weaken the case for them to score. Therefore, I’m backing BTTS - No, primarily because of the risk that Leuven fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise scored an average of 3,2 goals over its last five matches, with an average xG of 2,34 during that period. OH Leuven concede an average of 2,33 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, strengthening the case for the hosts to score at least twice. The visitors score just 0,33 goals per away match and failed to score in 67% of those games, so I estimate their contribution more conservatively. The total goals prediction of 2,8 offers the strongest edge on Over 1,5 goals; the higher Over 2,5 line is less certain, particularly as Union went over it in 50% of their home matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is marginally more likely than Union Saint-Gilloise taking the lead at the break, as OH Leuven were level at half-time in all 3 of their away matches so far. However, this is not a certainty: the hosts led at the break in 2 of their 4 home games, and across their last 5 matches, home and away, they have averaged 1.4 goals before half-time. The strongest case for a Union victory is their form: they have won their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals, while OH Leuven have lost 3 of their last 5. After the break, the visitors have conceded an average of 2 goals away from home and scored none, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will decide the match in the second half. Therefore, X/1 has a slight edge over 1/1, although both scenarios remain closely matched.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Union Saint-Gilloise | OH Leuven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 19% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 275% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Union Saint-Gilloise · 0.8 pts / game - OH Leuven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 323% better for: goals scored per game.
3 goals / game - Union Saint-Gilloise · 0.71 goals / game - OH Leuven
Union Saint-Gilloise is 333% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.43 goals / game - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.86 goals / game - OH Leuven
Union Saint-Gilloise scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while OH Leuven keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
OH Leuven scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Union Saint-Gilloise keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Saint-Gilloise
Over / Under - OH Leuven
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / game - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.29 pts / game - OH Leuven
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Saint-Gilloise - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 86%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
OH Leuven - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Union Saint-Gilloise
OH Leuven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Liga | OH Leuven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.43 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 32% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Union Saint-Gilloise's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against OH Leuven. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
The Pro League match finished Union Saint-Gilloise 1:1 OH Leuven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Saint-Gilloise and OH Leuven?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Union Saint-Gilloise won 1, OH Leuven won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Union Saint-Gilloise score 3.00 goals per game on average and OH Leuven 0.71. The Pro League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Union Saint-Gilloise's matches and 43% of OH Leuven's.
What form are Union Saint-Gilloise and OH Leuven in?
Over the last 5 games Union Saint-Gilloise have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and OH Leuven 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.