Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio San Carlos de ApoquindoData current as of 23 July 2026

Universidad Católica vs La Serena: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Universidad Católica vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Universidad Católica play La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo.

Current form

Universidad Católica: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. La Serena: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Universidad Católica scores 2.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. La Serena scores 1.40 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Universidad Católica 67%, La Serena 53%. Over 2.5: Universidad Católica 73%, La Serena 53%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Universidad Católica has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.26. Universidad Católica: 13.5 shots per match, La Serena: 11.5.

Match halves

Universidad Católica: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.27. La Serena: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Universidad Católica: 31-45+ (11 goals). La Serena: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.43)
(4.25)
(5.20)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
2.33Goals scored / match1.4
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
1.33Goals conceded / match1.67
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
56%Average possession48%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
4.93Shots on target / match4.2
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.53Shots per match11.47
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
4.93Shots on target4.2
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
17.2%Shot conversion12.2%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
56%Possession48%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
1.42xG for1.26
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
1.12xG against1.46
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

Shooting quality

Universidad Católica: Efficient finishingLa Serena: Balanced
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Universidad Católica is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Universidad Católica · 1 pts / match - La Serena

Universidad Católica
LWLWW
Season result split
53% W13% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-5
1.73 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
La Serena
DLWLD
Season result split
27% W40% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-5
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Universidad Católica is 66% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Universidad Católica · 1.4 goals / match - La Serena

Universidad Católica is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Universidad Católica · 1.67 goals / match - La Serena

Universidad Católica scoring profile: very strong

Universidad Católica scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

La Serena scoring profile: very strong

La Serena scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Universidad Católica keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).

35Goals scored (season)21
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
20Goals conceded (season)25
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
3.67Average goals in match3.07
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
11Goals scored (last 5)8
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
4Goals conceded (last 5)11
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal73%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
73%2 goals40%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
33%3 goals20%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
20%4 goals7%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal73%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
40%2 goals40%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
13%3 goals27%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
0%4 goals20%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
Universidad Católica - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 15 matches
49%
League average

Goal patterns

60%BTTS at half-time27%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
13%BTTS in both halves7%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
53%Scored in both halves20%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
40%BTTS - last 580%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
47%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

La Serena is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Universidad Católica · 1.67 pts / match - La Serena

Universidad Católica - half-time state
33% leading27% draw40% trailing
La Serena - half-time state
40% leading47% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.67
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
1.07Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
1.07Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
2.13Average goals (1st half)1.33
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
27%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
27%No goal before half-time47%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)0.93
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
1.27Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
0.27Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.73
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
80%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena
33%No goal after half-time60%
Universidad CatólicaLa Serena

Universidad Católica - second-half results

53% W40% R7% P
19
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.8

Defence stays stable across the full match.

La Serena - second-half results

20% W33% R47% P
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Universidad Católica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
La Serena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.22.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Universidad Católica
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
1
5
16-30
11
6
31-45
4
3
46-60
7
0
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

La Serena
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
7
5
31-45
5
5
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.37
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Universidad Católica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.91
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

La Serena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Universidad CatólicaLigaLa Serena
Average goals in match 3.672.78 3.07
Both teams scored 67%49% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 73%53% 53%
Clean sheets 20%29% 27%
Goal before half-time 87%72% 67%
Goal after half-time 73%75% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+45%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Universidad Católica 1 - 1 - 1 La Serena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

La Serena
2 : 2
Universidad Católica
CD La Serena
0 : 1
CD Universidad Católica
CD Universidad Católica
1 : 3
CD La Serena

FAQ

When do Universidad Católica and La Serena play?

Universidad Católica face La Serena on 26 July 2026 in Primera División at Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Universidad Católica and La Serena?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1, La Serena won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Universidad Católica vs La Serena?

Universidad Católica score 2.33 goals per game on average and La Serena 1.40. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Universidad Católica's matches and 53% of La Serena's.

What form are Universidad Católica and La Serena in?

Over the last 5 games Universidad Católica have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and La Serena 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Universidad Católica vs La Serena?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Universidad Católica vs La Serena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.