Universidad Católica vs Palestino: match statistics
Universidad Católica vs Palestino: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Universidad Católica played against Palestino in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on April 2, 2026. Final score: 6:1.
Recent form
Universidad Católica has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Palestino has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Universidad Católica scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 1.43. Palestino scores 1.57 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Universidad Católica's games and 71% of Palestino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 57%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palestino has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.37 per game. Universidad Católica takes 14.0 shots per game, while Palestino takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Universidad Católica leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.14 goals per game after halftime. Palestino leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Universidad Católica's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Palestino, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Universidad Católica sits 4th in the table and averages 2.33 goals per home match, while Palestino scores only 0.67 goals per away game. The hosts concede 1.0 goal on average at home, whereas Palestino concedes 2.0 on the road; the visitors have lost 100% of their away matches, while Católica is unbeaten at home (0% losses). The difference in finishing is clear — the hosts’ shot conversion is 17% versus 5% for Palestino, and average shots on target are 5 for Católica against 4 for the visitors. Despite similar xG (home xG 1.32 vs away xG for the visitors 1.38), the hosts’ superior efficiency translates into 2.33 actual goals versus 0.67 for the guests, and Católica keeps a clean sheet in 33% of home matches versus 0% clean sheets for Palestino away. Based on these figures and trends (Palestino’s last three away matches are losses), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong signal for BTTS - Yes comes from both teams' high rates: Universidad Católica has a seasonal BTTS 75% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Palestino has 67% seasonally and also 80% in the last 5. Home side scores on average 2.25 goals per match (xG 1.65), whereas Palestino concedes on average 2.0 goals per match (xG against 1.55), suggesting Universidad Católica has a realistic chance to score. Conversely, Palestino averages 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches with xG 1.59, and Universidad Católica concedes on average 1.6 goals in that period (xG against 0.85), indicating the visitors can also find the net. Additionally, Palestino has 0% clean sheets on the season, Universidad Católica 25%, and the average shots on target 6.75 versus 4.0 increases the probability of goals from both sides. Considering the repeating 80% in the last 5 matches and seasonal 75%/67%, I assign BTTS a 78% probability versus 22% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects total expected goals of 2.77 (1.60 for Universidad Católica and 1.17 for Palestino), calculated as the home xG average 1.65 and xG conceded 1.55, and the away xG 1.38 and xG conceded 0.95. Universidad Católica averages 2.25 goals per match this season, records 6.75 shots on target and a 13% conversion rate, while Palestino posts 0.67 goals, 4.0 shots on target and a 5% conversion — indicating a clear home advantage in chance creation. Season-to-date Over 1.5 rates are 75% for Católica and 67% for Palestino, and in the last 5 matches both teams produced Over 2.5 and BTTS at 80%, which raises the likelihood of a higher-scoring game. With an expected λ=2.77, a Poisson model yields approximately a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals and about 52% for Over 2.5, and the fact that the home side keeps clean sheets only 25% of the time while the visitors have 0% further boosts the chance of goals from both sides. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (recommended side: over, line: 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Universidad Católica has a significant offensive advantage: season goals per game 2.25 vs 0.67 for Palestino, xG_for 1.65 vs 1.38 and shot conversion 13% vs 5%, indicating a greater ability to turn chances into goals. At Half-Time the statistics favor the home side — Católica averages 0.75 goals scored and 0.25 conceded by the break, while Palestino scores 0.33 and concedes 0.67; the home team led at the break in 50% of matches versus 33% for the visitors. Defensively Católica also posts a lower xG_against (0.95 vs 1.55) and a smaller seasonal goals conceded average (1.25 vs 2.00), and the season-long 2.0 points per game and 50% home win rate versus 0.0 points and 0% wins for Palestino increase the likelihood of maintaining a lead after the break. I assign a moderate allowance for a draw or a turnaround due to the visitors’ form — Palestino have a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches — therefore I allocate 12% to 1/X and 10% to X/X as alternatives. Thus the most confident pick is 1/1 (48%), with the remaining scenarios distributed to lower probabilities (e.g. 1/2 6%, X/1 8%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Universidad Católica | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universidad Católica is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.86 goals / game - Universidad Católica · 1.57 goals / game - Palestino
Universidad Católica is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Universidad Católica · 1.57 goals / game - Palestino
Universidad Católica scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Palestino keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
Palestino scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Universidad Católica keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Universidad Católica
Over / Under - Palestino
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palestino is 298% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.43 pts / game - Universidad Católica · 1.71 pts / game - Palestino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Universidad Católica - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Palestino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Universidad Católica
Palestino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Universidad Católica | Liga | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.29 | 2.52 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 45% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Universidad Católica's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Palestino. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Universidad Católica vs Palestino?
The Primera División match finished Universidad Católica 6:1 Palestino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Universidad Católica and Palestino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1, Palestino won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Universidad Católica vs Palestino?
Universidad Católica score 1.86 goals per game on average and Palestino 1.57. The Primera División average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Universidad Católica's matches and 71% of Palestino's.
What form are Universidad Católica and Palestino in?
Over the last 5 games Universidad Católica have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Palestino 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Universidad Católica vs Palestino?
The statistical background for Universidad Católica vs Palestino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.