Universitario vs Atlético Grau: match statistics
Universitario vs Atlético Grau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Universitario play Atlético Grau in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Universitario: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético Grau: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Universitario scores 1.41 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Atlético Grau scores 0.71 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Universitario 53%, Atlético Grau 29%. Over 2.5: Universitario 47%, Atlético Grau 29%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Universitario has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.33. Universitario: 14.7 shots per match, Atlético Grau: 11.7.
Match halves
Universitario: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Atlético Grau: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Universitario: 16-30 (6 goals). Atlético Grau: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back the home win. Universitario score on average 1.86 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.68 and concede only 0.57 goals, whereas Atlético Grau score only 0.43 goals on the road with an xG of 1.16 and concede 1.57 goals. The home side averages 16.29 shots (4.14 on target) with an 11% conversion rate, while the visitors have 10.71 shots (3.71 on target) and a 4% conversion, giving a clear advantage in both quality and quantity of chances. Additionally, Universitario keep clean sheets in 57% of home matches and have 0% of matches without scoring, whereas Atlético Grau have 71% of away games without scoring, only 14% clean sheets and 0% away wins. Considering the difference in average goals (+1.43), higher xG (+0.52) and superior points form over the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 0.6), I assess the probabilities as 78% for the home team, 12% for a draw and 10% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Universitario | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Universitario is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Universitario · 1.2 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universitario is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Universitario · 0.71 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Universitario is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Universitario · 1.06 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Universitario scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Atlético Grau keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
Atlético Grau scores in 47% of matches (8 of 17 matches), while Universitario keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Universitario
Over / Under — Atlético Grau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Universitario is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Universitario · 1.29 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Universitario - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Grau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Universitario
Atlético Grau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Universitario | Liga | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.63 | ▼ 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 25% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 41% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Universitario 2 - 0 - 0 Atlético Grau. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Universitario vs Atlético Grau?
The Primera División match finished Universitario 0:1 Atlético Grau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Universitario and Atlético Grau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Universitario won 2, Atlético Grau won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Universitario vs Atlético Grau?
Universitario score 1.41 goals per game on average and Atlético Grau 0.71. The Primera División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Universitario's matches and 29% of Atlético Grau's.
What form are Universitario and Atlético Grau in?
Over the last 5 games Universitario have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Grau 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Universitario vs Atlético Grau?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Universitario vs Atlético Grau: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.