Peru - Primera DivisiónEstadio MonumentalData current as of 23 July 2026

Universitario vs Real Garcilaso: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Universitario vs Real Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Universitario play Real Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 25 July 2026 at 03:30. Venue: Estadio Monumental.

Current form

Universitario: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Real Garcilaso: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Universitario scores 1.44 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Real Garcilaso scores 1.39 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Universitario 56%, Real Garcilaso 61%. Over 2.5: Universitario 50%, Real Garcilaso 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Universitario has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.37. Universitario: 14.7 shots per match, Real Garcilaso: 12.6.

Match halves

Universitario: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Universitario: 16-30 (7 goals). Real Garcilaso: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.40)
(4.20)
(6.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
1.44Goals scored / match1.39
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0.89Goals conceded / match1.39
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
53%Average possession58%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
4.17Shots on target / match4.61
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.67Shots per match12.61
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
4.17Shots on target4.61
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
9.8%Shot conversion11%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
53%Possession58%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
1.56xG for1.37
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
1.22xG against1.54
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

Shooting quality

Universitario: AttackingReal Garcilaso: Balanced
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
Accuracy (shots on target)28%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Real Garcilaso is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Universitario · 2 pts / match - Real Garcilaso

Universitario
DLDWW
Season result split
50% W28% R22% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-4
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Real Garcilaso
DLWWW
Season result split
50% W17% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Universitario is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.89 goals / match - Universitario · 1.39 goals / match - Real Garcilaso

Universitario scoring profile: very strong

Universitario scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).

Real Garcilaso scoring profile: strong

Real Garcilaso scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Universitario keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).

26Goals scored (season)25
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
16Goals conceded (season)25
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
2.33Average goals in match2.78
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
4Goals scored (last 5)8
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal78%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
44%2 goals39%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
11%3 goals17%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
11%4 goals6%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal83%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
22%2 goals22%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
6%3 goals6%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0%4 goals6%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time33%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0%BTTS in both halves0%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
22%Scored in both halves28%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
40%BTTS - last 560%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Universitario - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing
Real Garcilaso - half-time state
28% leading67% draw6% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.5
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.72
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0.22Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0.89Average goals (1st half)1.33
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
83%Clean sheet before half-time61%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
61%No goal before half-time50%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.44
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.44
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
50%Clean sheet after half-time44%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso
39%No goal after half-time44%
UniversitarioReal Garcilaso

Universitario - second-half results

28% W50% R22% P
28
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Garcilaso - second-half results

39% W28% R33% P
27
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Universitario - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Real Garcilaso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Universitario
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
7
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
6
3
46-60
5
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Real Garcilaso
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
6
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Universitario

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Real Garcilaso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

UniversitarioLigaReal Garcilaso
Average goals in match 2.332.67 2.78
Both teams scored 56%58% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%53% 56%
Clean sheets 39%24% 17%
Goal before half-time 44%65% 56%
Goal after half-time 72%80% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+67%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defence advantage
+34%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Universitario 1 - 1 - 1 Real Garcilaso. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Real Garcilaso
1 : 1
Universitario
Club Universitario de Deportes
3 : 2
Asociación Civil Real Atlético Garcilaso
Asociación Civil Real Atlético Garcilaso
2 : 0
Club Universitario de Deportes

FAQ

When do Universitario and Real Garcilaso play?

Universitario face Real Garcilaso on 25 July 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Monumental. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Universitario and Real Garcilaso?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Universitario won 1, Real Garcilaso won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Universitario vs Real Garcilaso?

Universitario score 1.44 goals per game on average and Real Garcilaso 1.39. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Universitario's matches and 61% of Real Garcilaso's.

What form are Universitario and Real Garcilaso in?

Over the last 5 games Universitario have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Real Garcilaso 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Universitario vs Real Garcilaso?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.