UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints: match statistics
Despite poor form in their last five matches, UPDF presents significantly better statistics at home than Buhimba United does away. The hosts have a goal difference of -3 in home matches, while the visitors possess a catastrophic record of -20 in away games. Buhimba United loses a staggering 88% of away matches and concedes an average of 3.38 goals per match, indicating serious defensive issues. UPDF boasts better xG (1.44 vs 1.03) and higher ball possession (52% vs 38%), giving them an advantage in controlling the game. Although the hosts haven't won in their last five matches, their home statistics are solid enough to defeat one of the weakest away teams in the league. The key to victory will be exploiting the visitors' defensive weaknesses and maintaining concentration for the full 90 minutes.
UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UPDF play Buhimba United Saints in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 13 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Buhimba United Saints: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Buhimba United Saints scores 0.55 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UPDF 40%, Buhimba United Saints 24%. Over 2.5: UPDF 40%, Buhimba United Saints 45%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
UPDF has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.07. UPDF: 10.8 shots per match, Buhimba United Saints: 6.3.
Match halves
UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43. Buhimba United Saints: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.34.
Goals by minute
UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). Buhimba United Saints: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Despite poor form in their last five matches, UPDF presents significantly better statistics at home than Buhimba United does away. The hosts have a goal difference of -3 in home matches, while the visitors possess a catastrophic record of -20 in away games. Buhimba United loses a staggering 88% of away matches and concedes an average of 3.38 goals per match, indicating serious defensive issues. UPDF boasts better xG (1.44 vs 1.03) and higher ball possession (52% vs 38%), giving them an advantage in controlling the game. Although the hosts haven't won in their last five matches, their home statistics are solid enough to defeat one of the weakest away teams in the league. The key to victory will be exploiting the visitors' defensive weaknesses and maintaining concentration for the full 90 minutes.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | Buhimba United Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UPDF is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - UPDF · 0.55 goals / match - Buhimba United Saints
UPDF is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - UPDF · 2.17 goals / match - Buhimba United Saints
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Buhimba United Saints keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
Buhimba United Saints scores in 38% of matches (11 of 29 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — UPDF
Over / Under — Buhimba United Saints
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UPDF is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - UPDF · 0.41 pts / match - Buhimba United Saints
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Buhimba United Saints - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UPDF
Buhimba United Saints
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | Buhimba United Saints | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.17 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 35% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 39% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UPDF 0 - 1 - 0 Buhimba United Saints. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints?
The Uganda Premier League match finished UPDF 0:0 Buhimba United Saints. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints?
UPDF score 0.80 goals per game on average and Buhimba United Saints 0.55. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 40% of UPDF's matches and 24% of Buhimba United Saints's.
What form are UPDF and Buhimba United Saints in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Buhimba United Saints 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints?
The statistical background for UPDF vs Buhimba United Saints — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


