UPDF vs BUL: match statistics
BUL displays clearly better form in the last five matches, earning 1.2 points per match compared to UPDF's mere 0.4 points. The hosts sit in 14th place and haven't won any of their last five meetings, showing very poor home form (17% win rate). BUL demonstrates greater offensive efficiency in away matches, recording an average of 4.4 shots on target per match and a higher conversion rate (8% vs 6%). UPDF fails to score in 50% of home matches, which, combined with the visitors' better efficiency, points towards a BUL victory. Higher xG values for the visitors (1.49 vs 1.45) and their superior disposition suggest BUL has better chances of winning, though the instability of both teams leaves room for a draw.
UPDF vs BUL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
UPDF played against BUL in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 30, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
UPDF has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. BUL has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
UPDF scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.64. BUL scores 0.93 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of UPDF's games and 50% of BUL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
UPDF has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.52 per game. UPDF takes 11.0 shots per game, while BUL takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
UPDF leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. BUL leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.21 after halftime.
When the teams score
UPDF's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For BUL, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
BUL displays clearly better form in the last five matches, earning 1.2 points per match compared to UPDF's mere 0.4 points. The hosts sit in 14th place and haven't won any of their last five meetings, showing very poor home form (17% win rate). BUL demonstrates greater offensive efficiency in away matches, recording an average of 4.4 shots on target per match and a higher conversion rate (8% vs 6%). UPDF fails to score in 50% of home matches, which, combined with the visitors' better efficiency, points towards a BUL victory. Higher xG values for the visitors (1.49 vs 1.45) and their superior disposition suggest BUL has better chances of winning, though the instability of both teams leaves room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | BUL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
BUL is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - UPDF · 1.2 pts / game - BUL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - UPDF · 0.93 goals / game - BUL
BUL is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.64 goals / game - UPDF · 1.14 goals / game - BUL
UPDF scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 games), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 games).
BUL scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 games), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UPDF
Over / Under - BUL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / game - UPDF · 1.57 pts / game - BUL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
BUL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
UPDF
BUL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | BUL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.32 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | • 43% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 36% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of UPDF vs BUL?
The Uganda Premier League match finished UPDF 0:1 BUL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs BUL?
UPDF score 0.86 goals per game on average and BUL 0.93. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 43% of UPDF's matches and 50% of BUL's.
What form are UPDF and BUL in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and BUL 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs BUL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UPDF vs BUL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.