UPDF vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

UPDF play NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 16 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. NEC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. NEC scores 0.97 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: UPDF 40%, NEC 38%. Over 2.5: UPDF 40%, NEC 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

UPDF has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.44. UPDF: 10.8 shots per match, NEC: 8.7.

Match halves

UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43. NEC: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). NEC: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
UPDFNEC
14Shots3
UPDFNEC
0Shots on target3
UPDFNEC
1.44xG0.95
UPDFNEC
0Corners4
UPDFNEC
77Dangerous attacks75
UPDFNEC
19Fouls18
UPDFNEC
0Cards0
UPDFNEC

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.8Goals scored / match0.97
UPDFNEC
1.37Goals conceded / match0.76
UPDFNEC
50%Average possession47%
UPDFNEC
3.1Shots on target / match3.07
UPDFNEC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.77Shots per match8.69
UPDFNEC
3.1Shots on target3.07
UPDFNEC
7.4%Shot conversion11.1%
UPDFNEC
50%Possession47%
UPDFNEC
1.53xG for1.44
UPDFNEC
1.32xG against1.43
UPDFNEC

Shooting quality

UPDF: BalancedNEC: Balanced
UPDFNEC
Accuracy (shots on target)29%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NEC is 800% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - UPDF · 1.8 pts / match - NEC

UPDF
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W23% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-18
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-5-8
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
NEC
WWWLL
Season result split
45% W34% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-6
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NEC is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - UPDF · 0.97 goals / match - NEC

NEC is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - UPDF · 0.76 goals / match - NEC

UPDF scoring profile: more difficult

UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).

NEC scoring profile: very strong

NEC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).

24Goals scored (season)28
UPDFNEC
41Goals conceded (season)22
UPDFNEC
2.17Average goals in match1.72
UPDFNEC
2Goals scored (last 5)4
UPDFNEC
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
UPDFNEC

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal79%
UPDFNEC
17%2 goals14%
UPDFNEC
7%3 goals3%
UPDFNEC
3%4 goals0%
UPDFNEC

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal45%
UPDFNEC
43%2 goals21%
UPDFNEC
10%3 goals7%
UPDFNEC
7%4 goals3%
UPDFNEC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time3%
UPDFNEC
10%BTTS in both halves0%
UPDFNEC
17%Scored in both halves7%
UPDFNEC

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
UPDFNEC
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
UPDFNEC
40%BTTS - last 520%
UPDFNEC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time45%
UPDFNEC
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
UPDFNEC
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
UPDFNEC

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
UPDFNEC
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
UPDFNEC
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
UPDFNEC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NEC is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.87 pts / match - UPDF · 1.41 pts / match - NEC

UPDF - half-time state
13% leading47% draw40% trailing
NEC - half-time state
28% leading59% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.87Points per match (1st half)1.41
UPDFNEC
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.34
UPDFNEC
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.24
UPDFNEC
1.1Average goals (1st half)0.59
UPDFNEC
50%Clean sheet before half-time83%
UPDFNEC
73%No goal before half-time69%
UPDFNEC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)1.55
UPDFNEC
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
UPDFNEC
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
UPDFNEC
1.07Average goals (2nd half)1.1
UPDFNEC
53%Clean sheet after half-time66%
UPDFNEC
60%No goal after half-time45%
UPDFNEC

UPDF - second-half results

20% W47% R33% P
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

NEC - second-half results

38% W41% R21% P
41
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

UPDF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
NEC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

UPDF
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
2
4
16-30
6
12
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

NEC
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
5
5
46-60
7
2
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.95
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-49%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

UPDF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
165%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

UPDFLigaNEC
Average goals in match 2.172.09 1.72
Both teams scored 40%38% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%35% 21%
Clean sheets 27%39% 55%
Goal before half-time 60%59% 45%
Goal after half-time 67%62% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: UPDF 0 - 0 - 1 NEC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of UPDF vs NEC?

The Uganda Premier League match finished UPDF 0:0 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs NEC?

UPDF score 0.80 goals per game on average and NEC 0.97. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 40% of UPDF's matches and 38% of NEC's.

What form are UPDF and NEC in?

Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and NEC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs NEC?

The statistical background for UPDF vs NEC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.