UPDF vs URA: match statistics
UPDF vs URA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UPDF play URA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 24 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. URA: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. URA scores 0.90 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UPDF 40%, URA 40%. Over 2.5: UPDF 40%, URA 27%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
URA has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.53. UPDF: 10.8 shots per match, URA: 11.0.
Match halves
UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43. URA: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). URA: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I see UPDF’s edge primarily in efficiency and recent form: the hosts score 0.75 goals per home match versus URA’s 0.33 goals away; in the last 5 fixtures UPDF have 9 goals (1.8 per match) compared to the visitors’ 4 goals (0.8 per match). UPDF generate higher home xG — 1.60 versus URA’s 1.41 xG on the road — while URA’s opponents create 1.59 xG on average in their away games, whereas UPDF concede 1.09 xG at home, indicating greater defensive vulnerability from the visitors. The hosts also have better shot conversion (6% vs 3%), higher possession (54% vs 49%) and a similar number of attempts (11.75 vs 10.33), which translates into higher-quality chances. Downsides for UPDF are that 50% of their home matches end without scoring and they concede on average 1.0 goal at home, while URA keep clean sheets in 42% of away games, which reduces the visitors’ risk of defeat. Considering UPDF’s superior form over the last 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses and 1.4 points per match) versus URA (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses and 0.8 points per match), I assign a higher probability to the home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | URA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
URA is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - UPDF · 1.4 pts / match - URA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
URA is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - UPDF · 0.9 goals / match - URA
URA is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - UPDF · 0.97 goals / match - URA
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
URA scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — UPDF
Over / Under — URA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
URA is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - UPDF · 1.17 pts / match - URA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
URA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UPDF
URA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | URA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.17 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UPDF 0 - 0 - 1 URA. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UPDF vs URA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished UPDF 0:0 URA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs URA?
UPDF score 0.80 goals per game on average and URA 0.90. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 40% of UPDF's matches and 40% of URA's.
What form are UPDF and URA in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and URA 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs URA?
The statistical background for UPDF vs URA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.