USM Alger vs Paradou AC: match statistics
USM Alger vs Paradou AC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
USM Alger play Paradou AC in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match date is 22 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
USM Alger: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Paradou AC: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
USM Alger scores 1.13 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Paradou AC scores 1.17 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: USM Alger 57%, Paradou AC 50%. Over 2.5: USM Alger 33%, Paradou AC 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
USM Alger has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.14. USM Alger: 10.4 shots per match, Paradou AC: 7.7.
Match halves
USM Alger: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.47. Paradou AC: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
USM Alger: 16-30 (9 goals). Paradou AC: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match favorite is USM Alger (home win), primarily due to defensive superiority and game control: the hosts concede only 0.69 goals per home match on average, while Paradou concede 1.93 on the road. USM also posts significantly better chance-quality metrics – average xG for the hosts at home is 1.87 versus Paradou's 1.01 xG away, and the hosts average 13.15 shots (6.54 on target) compared to 6.86 (3.36 on target) for the visitors. Paradou have scored more goals this season (33 vs 24) and have 8 goals in the last 5 matches versus USM's 5, but that is offset by their poor defence (48 goals conceded this season and only 7% clean sheets away). Additionally, USM have been collecting more points recently (2.0 points per match in the last 5 vs 1.4 for Paradou) and at home suffer only 15% defeats with 46% clean sheets, while Paradou lose 79% of away fixtures. Considering defensive stability and superiority in chance quality, I assess a 60% probability of a home win, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| USM Alger | Paradou AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paradou AC is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - USM Alger · 1.2 pts / match - Paradou AC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
USM Alger is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - USM Alger · 1.8 goals / match - Paradou AC
USM Alger scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Paradou AC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Paradou AC scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while USM Alger keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — USM Alger
Over / Under — Paradou AC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USM Alger is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - USM Alger · 0.93 pts / match - Paradou AC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
USM Alger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paradou AC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
USM Alger
Paradou AC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| USM Alger | Liga | Paradou AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.10 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: USM Alger 1 - 0 - 0 Paradou AC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
The Ligue 1 match finished USM Alger 4:2 Paradou AC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
USM Alger score 1.13 goals per game on average and Paradou AC 1.17. The Ligue 1 average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 57% of USM Alger's matches and 50% of Paradou AC's.
What form are USM Alger and Paradou AC in?
Over the last 5 games USM Alger have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Paradou AC 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
The statistical background for USM Alger vs Paradou AC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.