USM Khenchela vs USM Alger: match statistics

USM Khenchela are in clearly better form: in their last five matches, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat, collecting 10 points. During the same period, USM Alger have failed to win a single game, posting 3 draws and 2 defeats for a return of just 0.6 points per match. The hosts have scored 8 goals in their last five matches, 2 more than their opponents, while their defense has conceded 7 goals compared with 8 for the visitors. The defensive difference is not substantial, but Khenchela’s significantly better run of results and USM Alger’s poor overall form point towards a home win. A draw remains a realistic outcome given the visitors’ 3 draws in their last five appearances, but a USM Khenchela victory is the most likely result.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, which is a very strong shared signal for goals at both ends. During this period, USM Khenchela averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while USM Alger scored 1.2 goals and conceded 1.6 per match. Their attacking potential is supported by xG: the hosts recorded 1.67, and the visitors 1.42, while both defenses allowed opponents an xG of 1.40 and 1.26 respectively. Khenchela scored 8 and conceded 7 goals in five matches, while USM Alger scored 6 and conceded 8, so neither side currently provides strong grounds for keeping a clean sheet. The lack of seasonal data limits confidence in the prediction, but the current form of both teams more clearly supports the BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal outcome.

Data from the last five matches points to elevated scoring potential: Khenchela averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while USM Alger scored 1.2 goals and conceded 1.6. The average total goals across these runs was 3.0 and 2.8 respectively, clearly supporting a scenario with at least two goals. Both teams recorded matches with goals scored by both sides in 80% of their last five appearances, while the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 80% of Khenchela's matches and 60% of USM Alger's. The xG indicators are also positive, with Khenchela creating chances worth 1.67 xG per match and USM Alger 1.42 xG. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.90 goals provides a significantly greater margin of safety than the higher lines.

USM Khenchela are in significantly better form: they have won 60% of their last five matches and averaged 2.0 points per game, while USM Alger have not won any of those fixtures and managed just 0.6 points per match. A draw at half-time is a realistic possibility, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 40% of their last five appearances. After the break, the hosts conceded an average of only 0.4 goals, whereas the visitors scored just 0.2 and allowed their opponents to average 1.0 goal per match. Khenchela won the second half in 20% of their matches and drew it in 60%, while USM Alger did not win any second half and lost 60% of them. This further supports the HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a home win at full-time (X/1).