Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics
Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Utrecht played against Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Utrecht has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Fortuna Sittard has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Utrecht scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.27. Fortuna Sittard scores 1.48 and allows 1.85. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Utrecht's games and 79% of Fortuna Sittard's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 70%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Utrecht has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.38 per game. Utrecht takes 15.1 shots per game, while Fortuna Sittard takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Utrecht leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Fortuna Sittard leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Utrecht's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Fortuna Sittard, it is minutes 0-15 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win. Utrecht averages 1.81 goals scored and concedes only 0.81 goals per game with xG 1.79, whereas Fortuna on the road scores 1.31 and concedes 2.00 goals with xG 1.25. The home side creates markedly more chances: on average 17 shots and 5.88 on target per match versus Fortuna’s 10.75 shots and 4.75 on target, and the clean sheet rate is 31% for Utrecht versus 0% for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Utrecht has scored 11 goals and recorded 3 wins, averaging 1.8 points per game, while Fortuna has 6 goals and only 0.8 points per game in that period. The defensive differential (0.81 vs 2.00 conceded) combined with the superiority in chance creation favors a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'both teams to score' scenario is strongly supported by the data: Utrecht has a season BTTS rate of 82%, Fortuna Sittard 75%, versus the league average of 63%. Both sides defend poorly — Utrecht concedes 1.71 goals per season (2.2 in the last 5) and has only 18% clean sheets, while Fortuna concedes 2.00 goals per season (1.8 in the last 5) and has 0% clean sheets. xG also points to goals for both teams: Utrecht has xG_for 1.51 against Fortuna’s xG_against 1.85, and Fortuna has xG_for 1.25 against Utrecht’s xG_against 1.63, indicating realistic scoring chances for both sides. Additionally, Utrecht averages 14.47 shots and 4.29 on target, Fortuna 10.75 and 4.75 on target, with conversion rates of 11% and 12% and high percentages of matches over 2.5 goals (Utrecht 71%, Fortuna 69%) increasing the likelihood of traded goals. Based on this I assess an 80% probability for BTTS - Yes and 20% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of goals: Utrecht scores 1.65 goals per match on average with xG_for 1.51, while Fortuna scores 1.31 with xG_for 1.25. Combining these figures with the opponents' defenses (Fortuna xG_against 1.85, Utrecht xG_against 1.63) yields estimated expected goals of 1.68 for Utrecht and 1.44 for Fortuna, for a total of 3.12 goals. Both teams have a seasonal share of matches over 1.5 goals equal to 88%, while BTTS rates are 82% (Utrecht) and 75% (Fortuna), suggesting a high likelihood of goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Utrecht has scored 11 goals (2.2 avg.) and conceded 11 (2.2), whereas Fortuna has scored 6 (1.2) and conceded 9 (1.8), reinforcing the hosts' offensive momentum. Given the combined xG = 3.12 and seasonal metrics over 1.5 = 88% and over 2.5 around 71%/69%, the strongest signal is an Over 1.5 goals bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Utrecht appears favored to lead at the break: the hosts led at half-time in 47% of matches versus 13% for Fortuna, with Utrecht averaging 0.88 goals by half-time and conceding 0.53. Utrecht also posts higher xG (1.51 vs 1.25) and more shots per game (14.47 vs 10.75), increasing the likelihood of taking and maintaining the initiative in the first half. There is a risk of a turnaround in the second half, as the hosts concede an average of 1.18 goals after the break while scoring 0.76, but seasonal records still favor Utrecht (wins 41% vs 25% for Fortuna and an average 1.47 points per game vs 0.88; in the last five matches Utrecht won 60% of games, Fortuna 20%). Both teams score frequently (both teams scored in 82% of Utrecht’s matches and 75% of Fortuna’s), so the most likely scenario is Utrecht leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1); I assign this combination a 31% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Utrecht | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Utrecht is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Utrecht · 0.8 pts / game - Fortuna Sittard
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Utrecht is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.61 goals / game - Utrecht · 1.48 goals / game - Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.27 goals / game - Utrecht · 1.85 goals / game - Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht scores in 82% of games (27 of 33 meczów), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 meczów).
Fortuna Sittard scores in 88% of games (29 of 33 meczów), while Utrecht keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Utrecht
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Utrecht is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - Utrecht · 1.24 pts / game - Fortuna Sittard
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Utrecht - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Utrecht | Liga | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.88 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 62% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 20% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Utrecht's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Fortuna Sittard. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
The Eredivisie match finished Utrecht 2:0 Fortuna Sittard. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Utrecht score 1.61 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 1.48. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Utrecht's matches and 79% of Fortuna Sittard's.
What form are Utrecht and Fortuna Sittard in?
Over the last 5 games Utrecht have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.