Utrecht vs Heerenveen: match statistics
Utrecht vs Heerenveen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Utrecht play Heerenveen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 21 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Utrecht: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Utrecht scores 1.64 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Heerenveen scores 1.69 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Utrecht 61%, Heerenveen 66%. Over 2.5: Utrecht 50%, Heerenveen 71%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Heerenveen has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.65. Utrecht: 15.3 shots per match, Heerenveen: 14.9.
Match halves
Utrecht: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.00. Heerenveen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Utrecht: 76-90+ (14 goals). Heerenveen: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Utrecht is a clear favorite at home: they score an average of 1.82 goals and concede only 0.76 at home, have a 59% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +18. Heerenveen has a solid overall scoring record this season (57 goals), but away they score only 1.41 goals and concede 1.71 per match, have a negative away goal difference of -5 and just a 35% away win rate. Recent form also favors Utrecht: the hosts have scored 10 goals and averaged 2.4 points in their last five matches, while the visitors have scored 4 goals and average 1.4 points. Utrecht generates higher xG at home (1.79 vs. 1.50 xG for the away side), takes more shots (17.06 vs. 13.71) and more shots on target (5.82 vs. 4.88), and the share of Heerenveen’s away matches without scoring is 29% versus 18% for the home side. Given the home defensive advantage (35% clean sheets vs. 18%) and superior xG and form metrics, I predict a Utrecht win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Utrecht | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Utrecht is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Utrecht · 1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Utrecht is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Utrecht · 1.6 goals / match - Heerenveen
Utrecht scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
Heerenveen scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Utrecht keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Utrecht
Over / Under — Heerenveen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Utrecht is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Utrecht · 1.43 pts / match - Heerenveen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Utrecht - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Utrecht
Heerenveen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Utrecht | Liga | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.89 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Utrecht 0 - 2 - 0 Heerenveen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
The Eredivisie match finished Utrecht 3:2 Heerenveen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and Heerenveen?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 0, Heerenveen won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
Utrecht score 1.64 goals per game on average and Heerenveen 1.69. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Utrecht's matches and 66% of Heerenveen's.
What form are Utrecht and Heerenveen in?
Over the last 5 games Utrecht have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Heerenveen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Utrecht vs Heerenveen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.