V-Varen Nagasaki has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Mito Hollyhock has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.17. Mito Hollyhock scores 1.44 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of V-Varen Nagasaki's games and 50% of Mito Hollyhock's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 47%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

V-Varen Nagasaki has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.35 per game. V-Varen Nagasaki takes 14.1 shots per game, while Mito Hollyhock takes 11.3.

First-half and second-half trends

V-Varen Nagasaki leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Mito Hollyhock leads at halftime in 47% and scores 0.78 after halftime.

When the teams score

V-Varen Nagasaki's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Mito Hollyhock, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J2 League games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 1

First half

1 : 0

Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

5Shots12

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

4Shots on target4

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

0.83xG1.39

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1Corners6

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

32Dangerous attacks50

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

6Fouls15

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1Cards2

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.83Points per game1.86

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1.67Goals scored / game1.44

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1.17Goals allowed / game0.89

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1.67xG for1.35

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

55%Average possession49%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

5.17Shots on target / game3.56

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

28%Clean sheets42%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

64%Both teams scored50%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.14Shots per game11.31

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

5.17Shots on target3.56

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

11.8%Shot conversion12.8%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

55%Possession49%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1.67xG for1.35

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1.35xG against1.26

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

Shooting quality

V-Varen Nagasaki: DominantMito Hollyhock: Balanced

	V-Varen Nagasaki	Mito Hollyhock
Accuracy (shots on target)	37%	31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.12	0.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.32	0.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

V-Varen Nagasaki is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.8 pts / game - Mito Hollyhock

V-Varen Nagasaki

WWDLW

Season result split

50% W33% D17% L

Season (W-D-L)

18-12-6

1.83 pts / game · goal difference +18

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-1-1

2.00 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

10-6-2

Last 5 at home

3-2-0

WWDWD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Mito Hollyhock

WLWWL

Season result split

53% W28% D19% L

Season (W-D-L)

19-10-7

1.86 pts / game · goal difference +20

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-0-2

1.80 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

10-4-4

Last 5 away

3-2-0

DDWWW

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

V-Varen Nagasaki is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.44 goals / game - Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.17 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.89 goals / game - Mito Hollyhock

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: strong

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 86% of games (31 of 36 meczów), while Mito Hollyhock keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 meczów).

Mito Hollyhock scoring profile: very strong

Mito Hollyhock scores in 81% of games (29 of 36 meczów), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 meczów).

60Goals scored (season)52

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

42Goals conceded (season)32

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

2.83Average goals per game2.33

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

11Goals scored (last 5)5

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

2Goals conceded (last 5)4

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

V-Varen Nagasaki

28%

Clean sheets10 of 36 meczów

14%

No goal5 of 36 meczów

Mito Hollyhock

42%

Clean sheets15 of 36 meczów

19%

No goal7 of 36 meczów

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal81%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

50%2 goals47%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

19%3 goals14%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

8%4 goals3%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal58%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

25%2 goals25%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

14%3 goals6%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

6%4 goals0%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%

V-Varen Nagasaki - BTTS23 of 36 meczów

50%

Mito Hollyhock - BTTS18 of 36 meczów

51%

League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time8%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

6%BTTS in both halves0%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

33%Scored in both halves25%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

20%BTTS - last 520%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

94%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)89%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

78%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)69%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

53%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)47%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

31%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)22%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

17%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)6%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 94%Under 6%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 78%Under 22%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 53%Under 47%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 31%Under 69%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 17%Under 83%

Over / Under - Mito Hollyhock

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 89%Under 11%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 69%Under 31%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 47%Under 53%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 22%Under 78%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 6%Under 94%

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

39%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

39%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

25%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mito Hollyhock is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.19 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.83 pts / game - Mito Hollyhock

V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state

25% leading44% draw31% trailing

Mito Hollyhock - half-time state

47% leading42% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per game (1st half)1.83

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.67

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.22

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1.25Average goals (1st half)0.89

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

44%Clean sheet before half-time81%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

50%No goal before half-time50%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)1.39

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.78

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.44

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

64%Clean sheet after half-time56%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

31%No goal after half-time44%

V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

58% W25% D17% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-3

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

+21

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.19

PPG before half-time

Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mito Hollyhock - second-half results

33% W39% D28% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

+16

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.83

PPG before half-time

Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	2.40	2.00
Goals scored / game	1.0	1.2
Goals allowed / game	0.2	0.2
Average goals per game	1.2	1.4
1 goal	100%	80%
2 goals	20%	40%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	80%	80%
No goal	20%	40%
Goal difference	+4	+5

Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

Mito Hollyhock - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.60	1.00
Goals scored / game	0.4	0.6
Goals allowed / game	0.2	0.6
Average goals per game	0.6	1.2
1 goal	60%	60%
2 goals	0%	40%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	80%	60%
No goal	60%	80%
Goal difference	+1	0

Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

V-Varen Nagasaki

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Mito Hollyhock

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.58

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.3 : 1.3

Estimated goal split

home : away

105%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

57%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

+16%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

70%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 33 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.32

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.18

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-6.5 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

0.00

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.18

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

131%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

98%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.17

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.5

Late goals

27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.

27%

Mito Hollyhock

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.09

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.46

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-11.3 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.09

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.37

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

121%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

70%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.06

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.1

Late goals

25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.

25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).

Teams vs league

	V-Varen Nagasaki	Liga	Mito Hollyhock
Average goals per game	▲ 2.83	2.47	▼ 2.33
Both teams scored	▲ 64%	51%	• 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 53%	45%	▲ 47%
Clean sheets	• 28%	29%	▲ 42%
Goal before half-time	▲ 78%	69%	▼ 61%
Goal after half-time	▲ 81%	75%	• 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47

Average goals per game

51%

Both teams scored

45%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

29%

Clean sheets

1.27

Home goals / game

1.19

Away goals / game

+7%

Home attack advantage

+6%

Home defensive advantage

+3%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

69%

1 goal

29%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

75%

1 goal

38%

2 goals

17%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Starting lineup

5Hotaru Yamaguchi 8Diego Cristiano Evaristo 10Matheus Sousa de Jesus⚽ 1 11Edigar Junio Teixeira Limaoff 46'19Takashi Sawadaoff 54'21Masaaki Goto 23Shunya Yonedaoff 79'29Ikki Arai⚽ 1 · off 88'44Yusei Egawa 48Hayato Teruyama 50Hijiri Onaga

Substitutes

1Masaya Tomizawaon 1'

3Masahiro Sekiguchion 1'9Juan Manuel Delgado Lloriaon 1'15Jun Okanoon 1'18Ryogo Yamasaki🟨 1 · on 46'20Keita Nakamuraon 1'25Kazuki Kushibikion 88'33Tsubasa Kasayanagion 79'34Tenmu Matsumotoon 54'

Away team

Starting lineup

2Sho OmoriA 1 3Koshi Osaki 6Takahiro Iidaoff 90'8Shunsuke Saito 25Keisuke Tadaoff 69'34Konosuke Nishikawa🟥 1 36Kenta Itakura 39Hayata Yamamoto⚽ 1 · off 69'47Taishi Sembaoff 80'97Travis Takahashi 99Chihiro Katooff 80'

Substitutes

4Takeshi Ushizawaon 1'13Shohei Aiharaon 80'16Koki Tsukagawaon 69'19Koichi Murataon 1'22Seiichiro Kuboon 69'24Kiichi Yamazakion 1'

51Ryusei Harunaon 90'

70Mizuki Araion 80'

71Malick Fofanaon 1'

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

6'
V-Varen NagasakiGoalIkki Arai
34'
Mito HollyhockGoalHayata YamamotoAssist: Sho Omori
46'
V-Varen NagasakiSubstitutionOn: Ryogo YamasakiOff: Edigar Junio Teixeira Lima
54'
V-Varen NagasakiSubstitutionOn: Tenmu MatsumotoOff: Takashi Sawada
64'
V-Varen NagasakiGoalMatheus Sousa de Jesus
68'
V-Varen NagasakiYellow cardRyogo Yamasaki
79'
V-Varen NagasakiSubstitutionOn: Tsubasa KasayanagiOff: Shunya Yoneda
88'
V-Varen NagasakiSubstitutionOn: Kazuki KushibikiOff: Ikki Arai
90'
Mito HollyhockSubstitutionOn: Ryusei HarunaOff: Takahiro Iida
90+3'
Mito HollyhockRed cardKonosuke Nishikawa

Head-to-head

Record from V-Varen Nagasaki's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Mito Hollyhock. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Mito Hollyhock

3 : 005/31/2025

V-Varen Nagasaki

FAQ

What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock?

The J2 League match finished V-Varen Nagasaki 2:1 Mito Hollyhock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock?

V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.67 goals per game on average and Mito Hollyhock 1.44. The J2 League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 64% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 50% of Mito Hollyhock's.

What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Mito Hollyhock in?

Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mito Hollyhock 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.