V-Varen Nagasaki has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.80. Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores 2.50 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of V-Varen Nagasaki's games and 40% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 60%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the higher season xG average, 2.28 to 1.30 per game. V-Varen Nagasaki takes 11.7 shots per game, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima takes 20.2.

First-half and second-half trends

V-Varen Nagasaki leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Sanfrecce Hiroshima leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

V-Varen Nagasaki's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Sanfrecce Hiroshima, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J1 League games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(6.00)

(4.60)

(1.45)

-Double chance 1X

-Double chance X2

-BTTS Yes odds

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.9Points per game2.3

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

1.1Goals scored / game2.5

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

1.8Goals allowed / game0.6

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

1.3xG for2.28

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

46%Average possession61%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

3.9Shots on target / game7.4

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

10%Clean sheets60%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

60%Both teams scored40%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.7Shots per game20.2

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

3.9Shots on target7.4

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

9.4%Shot conversion12.4%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

46%Possession61%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

1.3xG for2.28

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

1.61xG against0.9

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

Shooting quality

V-Varen Nagasaki: BalancedSanfrecce Hiroshima: Dominant

	V-Varen Nagasaki	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Accuracy (shots on target)	33%	37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.11	0.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.28	0.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 2.4 pts / game - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

V-Varen Nagasaki

LWDDL

Season result split

20% W30% D50% L

Season (W-D-L)

2-3-5

0.90 pts / game · goal difference -7

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-2-2

1.00 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

2-2-1

Last 5 at home

2-2-1

WLDWD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

LWWWW

Season result split

70% W20% D10% L

Season (W-D-L)

7-2-1

2.30 pts / game · goal difference +19

Last 5 (W-D-L)

4-0-1

2.40 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

3-1-1

Last 5 away

3-1-1

WDLWW

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.44Opponent xG: 0.82BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 127% better for: goals scored per game.

1.1 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 2.5 goals / game - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.8 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.6 goals / game - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: mixed

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 games).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scoring profile: very strong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

11Goals scored (season)25

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

18Goals conceded (season)6

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

2.9Average goals per game3.1

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

5Goals scored (last 5)14

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

7Goals conceded (last 5)4

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

V-Varen Nagasaki

10%

Clean sheets1 of 10 games

30%

No goal3 of 10 games

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

60%

Clean sheets6 of 10 games

10%

No goal1 of 10 games

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal90%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

40%2 goals70%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

0%3 goals50%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

0%4 goals20%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal40%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

50%2 goals10%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

30%3 goals10%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

10%4 goals0%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%

V-Varen Nagasaki - BTTS6 of 10 games

40%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - BTTS4 of 10 games

57%

League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

0%BTTS in both halves10%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

10%Scored in both halves40%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

60%BTTS - last 540%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)90%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

90%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)80%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

50%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)60%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

30%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)30%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

10%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)30%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 90%Under 10%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 30%Under 70%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 10%Under 90%

Over / Under - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 90%Under 10%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 80%Under 20%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 60%Under 40%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 30%Under 70%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 30%Under 70%

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

40%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

0%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

30%Min. 2 goals after half-time70%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

20%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.7 pts / game - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state

30% leading20% draw50% trailing

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - half-time state

40% leading50% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per game (1st half)1.7

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.8

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.3

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

1.2Average goals (1st half)1.1

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

50%Clean sheet before half-time80%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

70%No goal before half-time50%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

After half-time (2nd half)

0.9Points per game (2nd half)2.3

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

0.7Goals scored (2nd half)1.7

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.3

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

1.7Average goals (2nd half)2

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

30%Clean sheet after half-time70%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

50%No goal after half-time20%

V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-4

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-3

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.10

PPG before half-time

Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - second-half results

70% W20% D10% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

+14

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.70

PPG before half-time

Lead holding175%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	1.60
Goals scored / game	0.4	0.6
Goals allowed / game	1.0	0.4
Average goals per game	1.4	1.0
1 goal	100%	80%
2 goals	40%	20%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	40%	60%
No goal	60%	40%
Goal difference	-3	+1

Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	2.60
Goals scored / game	0.8	2.0
Goals allowed / game	0.4	0.4
Average goals per game	1.2	2.4
1 goal	40%	100%
2 goals	40%	80%
3 goals	40%	40%
Clean sheet	80%	60%
No goal	60%	0%
Goal difference	+2	+8

Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

V-Varen Nagasaki

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

0.9 : 2.1

Estimated goal split

home : away

103%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

50%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

63%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 33 matches

2-3

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.31

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.39

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

+0.8 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.20

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

-0.19

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

71%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

130%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.10

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.

36%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+1.38

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.52

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-5.4 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.22

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.30

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

181%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

39%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.10

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.9

Late goals

28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.

28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

	V-Varen Nagasaki	Liga	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Average goals per game	• 2.90	2.92	▲ 3.10
Both teams scored	▲ 60%	57%	▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▼ 50%	54%	▲ 60%
Clean sheets	▼ 10%	24%	▲ 60%
Goal before half-time	▲ 80%	67%	▼ 50%
Goal after half-time	▲ 90%	87%	▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92

Average goals per game

57%

Both teams scored

54%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

24%

Clean sheets

1.54

Home goals / game

1.38

Away goals / game

+12%

Home attack advantage

+10%

Home defensive advantage

+9%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

67%

1 goal

37%

2 goals

12%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

87%

1 goal

49%

2 goals

24%

3 goals

4 goals

FAQ

When do V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima play?

V-Varen Nagasaki face Sanfrecce Hiroshima on October 21, 2026 in J1 League at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.10 goals per game on average and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.50. The J1 League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 40% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's.

What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in?

Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.