V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo: match statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
V-Varen Nagasaki played against Tokyo in J1 League (Japan). The game was played on August 29, 2026. Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
V-Varen Nagasaki has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tokyo has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.33 points per game.
Scoring records
V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 2.00. Tokyo scores 1.67 and allows 2.33. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki's games and 67% of Tokyo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tokyo has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 0.94 per game. V-Varen Nagasaki takes 8.0 shots per game, while Tokyo takes 15.7.
First-half and second-half trends
V-Varen Nagasaki leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Tokyo leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
V-Varen Nagasaki's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Tokyo, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
J1 League games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
V-Varen Nagasaki head into the match with 3 wins from their last 5 fixtures, while Tokyo have won just once during that period and suffered 3 defeats. At home, the hosts average 2 goals per game, with an xG of 1.69—slightly higher than Tokyo’s 1.61 away from home. The key difference lies in defensive performance: Nagasaki concede an average of 1 goal in front of their home crowd, with opponents recording an xG of 1.11, whereas Tokyo allow 2 goals and 1.57 xG away from home. Both teams average 16 shots and 4 shots on target, but the hosts’ stronger recent form and more solid defense point to a narrow victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear, as Tokyo have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches this season, compared with 50% for V-Varen Nagasaki, against a league average of 63%. The visitors score an average of 2.0 goals per match and have not kept a single clean sheet, while the hosts score 1.5 goals per game. The xG data also supports the BTTS scenario: V-Varen create an average of 1.64 xG and Tokyo 1.61, while both defenses allow opponents 1.34 and 1.57 xG respectively. In their last five matches, each team has scored 1.2 goals on average, but Tokyo have conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game, strengthening the hosts’ chances of finding the net. Lower BTTS rates across their last five appearances, at 40% and 60%, reduce confidence, but the visitors’ weak defense and the consistent scoring form of both attacks still favor the “Yes” pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to at least two goals: both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their league matches so far. Tokyo average 2.0 goals, while V-Varen Nagasaki concede as many as 2.5 goals per game, clearly strengthening the visitors’ attacking potential. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.64 xG, while Tokyo allow opponents 1.57 xG, making a goal for the home side a realistic scenario as well. The last five matches provide a more cautious outlook, as Nagasaki have recorded just 0.92 xG, but Tokyo have conceded 11 goals during this period, or 2.2 per game. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.80 goals provides a clearer safety margin than Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
V-Varen Nagasaki were leading at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Tokyo have not been ahead after 45 minutes on any occasion and went into the break trailing in as many as 40% of their games. During this period, the hosts averaged 0.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.2 before half-time, whereas Tokyo scored 0.4 goals and allowed opponents to score 1.2. The recent full-time results also favor the home side: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have lost 3 of 5. Tokyo do, however, have the potential to respond after the break, averaging 0.8 goals in the second half, so scenarios involving the hosts surrendering their lead remain relevant. Nevertheless, the most likely outcome is that V-Varen Nagasaki will hold on to their lead and win, corresponding to the 1/1 HT/FT selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tokyo is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.33 pts / game - Tokyo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tokyo is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.67 goals / game - Tokyo
V-Varen Nagasaki is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 2.33 goals / game - Tokyo
V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Tokyo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Tokyo scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki
Over / Under - Tokyo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.67 pts / game - Tokyo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tokyo - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 0% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
V-Varen Nagasaki
Tokyo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Liga | Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 3.06 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo?
The J1 League match finished V-Varen Nagasaki 0:3 Tokyo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo?
V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.33 goals per game on average and Tokyo 1.67. The J1 League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 67% of Tokyo's.
What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Tokyo in?
Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tokyo 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo?
The statistical background for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.