Vaduz vs Grasshopper: match statistics

Vaduz remain winless after 4 league matches and have collected just 1 point from their last five games, losing 4 times. The hosts average 2 goals scored at home, but their defense is highly error-prone: they concede 3 goals per match and allow opponents an xG of 2.66. Grasshopper have a clearly superior current run, having earned 7 points and scored 10 goals in their last five matches, compared with Vaduz’s 9 goals scored and as many as 14 conceded. The visitors are also considerably more solid defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals away from home and allowing opponents an xG of 1.54. Both teams regularly find the net, but greater defensive stability and better recent results point to a Grasshopper victory.

The signal for goals from both sides is very strong, as Vaduz and Grasshopper have recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their league matches so far, while their figures over the last five games stand at 100% and 80%, respectively. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, and neither has ended a match without scoring. In their last five appearances, Vaduz averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded, while Grasshopper averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The high xG figures from the last five matches—1.60 for Vaduz and 1.61 for Grasshopper—support the genuine quality of the chances created by both sides. An additional argument is the league-wide BTTS average of 71%, making the scenario in which at least one team fails to score—BTTS - No—look considerably less likely.

Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal threshold in every match played so far this season, while Vaduz have shown an exceptionally weak defense, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per game. In their last five matches, Vaduz scored 1.8 goals and conceded 2.8, whereas Grasshopper scored 2.0 and allowed their opponents 1.6 goals. Their attacking potential is also confirmed by xG: 1.60 for the home side and 1.61 for the visitors, combined with high xG conceded by both defenses, at 2.12 and 1.81 respectively. In addition, both teams have scored in every match this season, while the league average stands at as many as 3.76 goals per game. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as even with a more conservative chance-conversion rate, the data clearly points to at least two goals.

Grasshopper are showing better current form: over their last five matches, they averaged 1.4 points and won 40% of their games, while Vaduz failed to win any, lost 80% of their matches, and averaged just 0.2 points per game. The visitors have been more stable before the break, as they led at half-time in 40% of matches in this run and conceded an average of 0.6 goals, compared with 1.2 goals conceded by the hosts. The strongest argument for the visitors maintaining their advantage lies in the second half: Vaduz conceded an average of 1.6 goals during this period and failed to win any of their last five second halves, whereas Grasshopper won the second half in 60% of cases. Vaduz’s seasonal home data are also alarming, as the team conceded an average of 4.0 goals per match and lost every game, compared with Grasshopper’s average of 1.5 goals conceded away from home. The scenario in which Grasshopper lead at the break and go on to win is therefore the most likely, although the high number of goals scored by both sides also increases the risk of Half-Time/Full-Time outcomes involving a draw at half-time.