Valencia CF vs Atlético Madrid: match statistics
Valencia CF vs Atlético Madrid: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Valencia CF play Atlético Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:15. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Valencia CF: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Atlético Madrid: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Valencia CF scores 1.21 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Atlético Madrid scores 1.63 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valencia CF 55%, Atlético Madrid 53%. Over 2.5: Valencia CF 42%, Atlético Madrid 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Madrid has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.27. Valencia CF: 11.8 shots per match, Atlético Madrid: 13.1.
Match halves
Valencia CF: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.89. Atlético Madrid: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Valencia CF: 76-90+ (15 goals). Atlético Madrid: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back Valencia to win: the hosts have a 44% home win rate and a positive home goal difference (+4), while Atlético win only 25% of away matches and carry a negative away goal difference (-3). Valencia’s advantage is also visible in quality of chances — average xG for the hosts is 1.46 versus Atlético’s 1.28 on the road, while average xG against is 1.10 for Valencia vs 1.54 for Atlético, with a higher number of shots (13.69 vs 10.69). In the last 5 matches Valencia has scored 7 goals and averages 1.4 points per game, whereas Atlético scored 9 but conceded 10 and average 1.0 point per game. Defensively the hosts concede 1.19 goals at home on average versus Atlético’s 1.31 conceded away, and the share of matches without scoring is 13% for Valencia vs 19% for Atlético, which increases the hosts’ chances at Mestalla. Based on this I assess the probabilities as: Valencia win 48%, draw 27%, Atlético win 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valencia CF | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valencia CF is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Valencia CF · 1.8 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Madrid is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Valencia CF · 1.63 goals / match - Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Valencia CF · 1.16 goals / match - Atlético Madrid
Valencia CF scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
Atlético Madrid scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Valencia CF keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Valencia CF
Over / Under — Atlético Madrid
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Madrid is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Valencia CF · 1.5 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valencia CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Valencia CF
Atlético Madrid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Valencia CF | Liga | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.66 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 82% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Valencia CF 0 - 0 - 1 Atlético Madrid. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Valencia CF vs Atlético Madrid?
The La Liga match finished Valencia CF 0:2 Atlético Madrid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valencia CF vs Atlético Madrid?
Valencia CF score 1.21 goals per game on average and Atlético Madrid 1.63. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Valencia CF's matches and 53% of Atlético Madrid's.
What form are Valencia CF and Atlético Madrid in?
Over the last 5 games Valencia CF have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Atlético Madrid 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valencia CF vs Atlético Madrid?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.