Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse: match statistics
Valenciennes displays significantly better shooting form in home matches, averaging 1.25 goals with an xG of 1.7, indicating unfulfilled offensive potential. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and register more shots on target (5.63 vs 3.75), translating into greater control of the game. Bourg-en-Bresse suffers from poor away efficiency—winning just 25% of matches, failing to score in 38% of games, and keeping clean sheets in only 13%. The disparity in xG quality (1.7 vs 1.15 for the visitors) and away goal difference (-2 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts at home) speaks in favor of a Valenciennes victory. Despite weaker form in their last five matches, the hosts should capitalize on home advantage and secure three points in this clash between two bottom-table sides.
Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Valenciennes played against Bourg-en-Bresse in National (France). The game was played on January 16, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Valenciennes has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Bourg-en-Bresse has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Valenciennes scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.27. Bourg-en-Bresse scores 0.73 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 2.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Valenciennes's games and 47% of Bourg-en-Bresse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 47%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Valenciennes has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.09 per game. Valenciennes takes 12.2 shots per game, while Bourg-en-Bresse takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Valenciennes leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Bourg-en-Bresse leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Valenciennes's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Bourg-en-Bresse, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National games average 2.31 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valenciennes displays significantly better shooting form in home matches, averaging 1.25 goals with an xG of 1.7, indicating unfulfilled offensive potential. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and register more shots on target (5.63 vs 3.75), translating into greater control of the game. Bourg-en-Bresse suffers from poor away efficiency—winning just 25% of matches, failing to score in 38% of games, and keeping clean sheets in only 13%. The disparity in xG quality (1.7 vs 1.15 for the visitors) and away goal difference (-2 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts at home) speaks in favor of a Valenciennes victory. Despite weaker form in their last five matches, the hosts should capitalize on home advantage and secure three points in this clash between two bottom-table sides.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Valenciennes | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Valenciennes is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Valenciennes · 0.6 pts / game - Bourg-en-Bresse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valenciennes is 37% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Valenciennes · 0.73 goals / game - Bourg-en-Bresse
Valenciennes is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.27 goals / game - Valenciennes · 1.47 goals / game - Bourg-en-Bresse
Valenciennes scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Bourg-en-Bresse keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
Bourg-en-Bresse scores in 53% of games (8 of 15 meczów), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Valenciennes
Over / Under - Bourg-en-Bresse
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valenciennes is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Valenciennes · 0.67 pts / game - Bourg-en-Bresse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valenciennes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bourg-en-Bresse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-Bresse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Valenciennes | Liga | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.27 | 2.31 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
The National match finished Valenciennes 3:1 Bourg-en-Bresse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
Valenciennes score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bourg-en-Bresse 0.73. The National average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Valenciennes's matches and 47% of Bourg-en-Bresse's.
What form are Valenciennes and Bourg-en-Bresse in?
Over the last 5 games Valenciennes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bourg-en-Bresse 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.