Valenciennes vs Dijon: match statistics
Valenciennes vs Dijon: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Valenciennes played against Dijon in National (France). The game was played on April 24, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Valenciennes has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Dijon has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Valenciennes scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.32. Dijon scores 1.61 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.39 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Valenciennes's games and 50% of Dijon's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dijon has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.47 per game. Valenciennes takes 11.9 shots per game, while Dijon takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Valenciennes leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Dijon leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Valenciennes's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Dijon, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National games average 2.39 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Dijon to win: they lead the table with 15 wins and 45 goals this season versus Valenciennes’ 10 wins and 32 goals. Dijon’s away defense is decisive — only 0.64 goals conceded per match and 50% clean sheets, while Valenciennes concede 1.00 goal on average at home with 36% clean sheets. Valenciennes do create more chances at home: on average 14.57 shots and xG 1.74 per match versus Dijon’s 10.64 shots and xG 1.31 on the road, giving them some offensive potential. In the last 5 matches Valenciennes scored 5 and conceded 6, averaging 1.4 points per match, whereas Dijon have 7 scored, 4 conceded and 2.0 points per match, confirming the visitors’ better form. Considering Dijon’s higher shot conversion (11% versus Valenciennes’ 8%) and defensive stability, the favorite’s advantage looks clear.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Valenciennes scores an average of 2.00 goals at home (xG 1.65), averages 14.0 shots with 5.0 on target and has a conversion rate of 14.0%, which strongly suggests the hosts will find the net. Dijon averages 1.21 goals away (xG 1.31) and concedes 0.64 goals on the road, but their xG against of 1.12 indicates the risk of conceding is higher than the raw 0.64 suggests. Season BTTS rates for both teams are 50% each, with the league BTTS average at 53%, while BTTS in the last 5 matches for both teams has dropped to 40%, which slightly balances the projection. Additionally, Valenciennes has a 10% home attacking edge and generates more shots (14.0 vs 10.64), increasing the likelihood that Dijon will concede at least once, even if the visitors have a 50% chance of a clean sheet. Considering the hosts' superior attacking quality, Dijon’s moderate away efficiency and the league tendency for both teams to score, I project BTTS - Yes at about 60% versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Valenciennes averages 2.0 goals scored at home with xG 1.65, while Dijon averages 1.21 goals away with xG 1.31; however Dijon concedes only 0.64 goals away despite xG against of 1.12, which gives a mixed defensive picture. The combined expected xG (1.65 vs 1.12 and 1.31 vs 0.76) translates to an expected 1.39 goals for Valenciennes and 1.04 for Dijon, totaling 2.43 expected goals. A Poisson model on these values estimates the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) at ~70%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) at ~44% and 4+ goals (Over 3.5) at ~23%. Additionally, 71% of Valenciennes’ home matches and 57% of Dijon’s matches finish over 1.5 goals, and on average Valenciennes records 5.0 shots on target versus Dijon's 3.71, which reinforces the goals signal. Based on this, the strongest and safest pick from the data is the Over 1.5 line due to the high 70% probability and the combined expected goals of 2.43.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Valenciennes victory after 90 minutes (X/1). Valenciennes score an average of 2.0 goals at home and have an xG of 1.65 versus Dijon’s 1.31 xG away; the hosts register more shots (14.0 vs 10.64) and win 57% of home matches, all supporting their full-time win. However, Dijon are active early — in the last 5 matches the away side scored 6 goals by half-time compared to 2 for Valenciennes (last5_GoalsHT_overall_away 6 vs home 2) and led at the break in 40% of those games, so a draw or an away lead at HT is realistic. Valenciennes clearly dominate after the break: on average 1.79 second-half goals (AVG_2hg_home 1.79), 1.29 goals scored after half-time (scored_2hg_avg_home 1.29) and 2.0 points gained after the break (ppg_2hg_home 2.0), which raises the chances of a turnaround. Therefore I assigned the highest weight to X/1 (23%), then 1/1 (20%) and a draw after 90 minutes (X/X 16%), with the remaining combinations receiving smaller shares.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Valenciennes | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dijon is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Valenciennes · 2 pts / game - Dijon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dijon is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Valenciennes · 1.61 goals / game - Dijon
Dijon is 86% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - Valenciennes · 0.71 goals / game - Dijon
Valenciennes scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Dijon keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 meczów).
Dijon scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Valenciennes
Over / Under - Dijon
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dijon is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Valenciennes · 1.71 pts / game - Dijon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valenciennes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dijon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Valenciennes
Dijon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Valenciennes | Liga | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.46 | 2.39 | • 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Valenciennes's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Dijon. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Valenciennes vs Dijon?
The National match finished Valenciennes 0:1 Dijon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valenciennes vs Dijon?
Valenciennes score 1.14 goals per game on average and Dijon 1.61. The National average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Valenciennes's matches and 50% of Dijon's.
What form are Valenciennes and Dijon in?
Over the last 5 games Valenciennes have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dijon 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valenciennes vs Dijon?
The statistical background for Valenciennes vs Dijon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.