Vålerenga vs HamKam: match statistics
Vålerenga vs HamKam: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vålerenga played HamKam in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 31 July 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Vålerenga: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. HamKam: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vålerenga scores 1.46 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. HamKam scores 1.67 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vålerenga 46%, HamKam 75%. Over 2.5: Vålerenga 46%, HamKam 75%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Vålerenga has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.33. Vålerenga: 15.8 shots per match, HamKam: 11.3.
Match halves
Vålerenga: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. HamKam: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Vålerenga: 0-15 (4 goals). HamKam: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vålerenga are favorites for this match: at home they score an average of 2.14 goals per game with xG 1.87, registering 17 shots and 6 on target while winning 57% of home fixtures. HamKam’s away numbers are markedly weaker — averaging 1.0 goal and xG 1.2 with 10.29 shots (3.14 on target), 0% away wins and conceding on average 2.14 goals per away match. Recent form over the last 5 matches strongly favors the hosts: Vålerenga have scored 12 goals in their last 5 games (2.4 avg) and have 3 wins in that period, yielding 1.8 points per game, whereas HamKam have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses and only 0.4 points per game. Additionally, HamKam have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches and have no clean sheets on the road (0%), and their shot conversion of 10% is lower than Vålerenga’s 13%, limiting their goal-scoring potential. Considering the hosts’ offensive advantage and superior xG and the visitors’ poor form and defensive frailties, I assess Vålerenga’s win probability at around 65%, draw 20% and HamKam win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high BTTS rates: Vålerenga 57% and HamKam 71%, versus a league average of 56%, which on a seasonal basis favors a Goal/Goal scenario. In the last 5 matches Vålerenga averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while HamKam averaged 1.0 scored and 2.4 conceded, indicating recent matches for both sides have been open and goal-heavy. HamKam has a season clean sheet expected rate of 0% and concedes 2.14 goals per game on average, so it is very likely to concede at least once; their seasonal BTTS is 71%. Creation and efficiency metrics support this: Vålerenga averages 4.71 shots on target per game with a 17% conversion rate and has an xG of 2.05 over the last 5 matches versus HamKam’s xG 1.08, giving the home side an advantage in creating and converting chances. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 72% versus BTTS - No 28%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high share of matches this season exceeding 1.5 goals (86% for both) and Over 2.5 goals (71% for both), and in the last 5 matches the Over 2.5 rate is 80% for each side. Vålerenga at home averages 1.86 goals this season and 2.4 in the last 5 matches, with last 5 xG = 2.05 and 4.71 shots on target per game; their conversion rate is 17%. HamKam averages 1.00 goal this season (1.00 in the last 5) but concedes a lot — 2.14 goals this season and 2.4 in the last 5; their last 5 xG_for = 1.08 and xG_against = 1.97 indicate defensive vulnerability. Taking this into account I forecast 2.05 expected goals for the home side and 1.15 for the visitors (total 3.20); a Poisson distribution for 3.20 yields approximate probabilities Over1.5 ≈83%, Over2.5 ≈62% and Over3.5 ≈40%. The strongest signal is Over 2.5 as a compromise between probability (62%) and value relative to the season-long 71–80% Over 2.5 rates and Vålerenga’s superior form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vålerenga led at the break in 57% of matches (4 of 7) and in their last five fixtures they held a lead at the 45-minute mark in 60% of cases, which strongly indicates a home advantage in the first half. This season Vålerenga average 1.86 goals per home match versus HamKam’s 1.00, with the hosts scoring an average of 0.86 and conceding 0.57 before the break, while HamKam manage only 0.14 goals per match prior to halftime. The quality of chances supports this: xG 1.3 for Vålerenga versus 1.2 for the visitors, shots on target 4.71 vs 3.14 and a conversion rate of 17% vs 10%, increasing the likelihood that the first-half advantage will convert into goals and a win. HamKam have not won away this season (0% wins) and record a low points-per-game average (0.43) and low first-half points average (0.29), so the most likely scenario is Vålerenga leading at half-time and winning the match (type 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vålerenga | HamKam | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vålerenga is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Vålerenga · 1 pts / match - HamKam
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HamKam is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Vålerenga · 1.67 goals / match - HamKam
Vålerenga is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.69 goals / match - Vålerenga · 1.83 goals / match - HamKam
Vålerenga scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while HamKam keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
HamKam scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Vålerenga keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vålerenga
Over / Under — HamKam
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vålerenga is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Vålerenga · 1.25 pts / match - HamKam
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vålerenga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
HamKam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vålerenga
HamKam
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Vålerenga | Liga | HamKam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.95 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | • 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Vålerenga 0 - 1 - 2 HamKam. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vålerenga vs HamKam?
The Eliteserien match finished Vålerenga 0:3 HamKam. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vålerenga and HamKam?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 0, HamKam won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vålerenga vs HamKam?
Vålerenga score 1.46 goals per game on average and HamKam 1.67. The Eliteserien average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Vålerenga's matches and 75% of HamKam's.
What form are Vålerenga and HamKam in?
Over the last 5 games Vålerenga have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and HamKam 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vålerenga vs HamKam?
The statistical background for Vålerenga vs HamKam — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.