Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene: match statistics
Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Valmiera / BSS play Smiltene in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Valmiera / BSS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Smiltene: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Valmiera / BSS scores 2.69 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Smiltene scores 1.00 and concedes 2.75. League average: 3.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valmiera / BSS 69%, Smiltene 50%. Over 2.5: Valmiera / BSS 77%, Smiltene 58%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Valmiera / BSS has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.07. Valmiera / BSS: 14.0 shots per match, Smiltene: 7.8.
Match halves
Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 2.08. Smiltene: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Valmiera / BSS: 76-90+ (11 goals). Smiltene: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.48 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Valmiera / BSS are the favorites: in the last 5 matches they have won 4 times and scored 21 goals in total (avg. 4.2 per match), registering an average of 2.4 points per game. Over the season the hosts have conceded only 2 goals, although in the last 5 fixtures they let in 9 goals (1.8 per match), indicating some short-term defensive vulnerabilities. Smiltene haven’t won any of their last 5 matches (0-4-1), scored 10 goals (2.0 per match) and conceded 12 (2.4 per match); away they average 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded, so their away games are very open (avg. 6.0 goals). The visitors average 12 shots per match with 7 on target and have a 25% conversion rate, so they can create chances, but the lack of breakthroughs (4 draws in 5 matches) limits their prospects for full points. Considering league positions (2 vs 8), Valmiera’s attacking superiority in form (21 goals in 5 matches) and the visitors’ defensive susceptibility, I give greater probability to a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valmiera / BSS | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valmiera / BSS is 1200% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 0.2 pts / match - Smiltene
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valmiera / BSS is 169% better for: goals scored per match.
2.69 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1 goals / match - Smiltene
Valmiera / BSS is 199% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 2.75 goals / match - Smiltene
Valmiera / BSS scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
Smiltene scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Valmiera / BSS
Over / Under — Smiltene
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valmiera / BSS is 219% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 0.58 pts / match - Smiltene
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valmiera / BSS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Valmiera / BSS
Smiltene
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Valmiera / BSS | Liga | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.62 | 3.48 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene?
The 1. Liga match finished Valmiera / BSS 4:0 Smiltene. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene?
Valmiera / BSS score 2.69 goals per game on average and Smiltene 1.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Valmiera / BSS's matches and 50% of Smiltene's.
What form are Valmiera / BSS and Smiltene in?
Over the last 5 games Valmiera / BSS have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Smiltene 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Valmiera / BSS vs Smiltene: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.